Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
899
FNUS52 KILM 172035
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
335 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure nearly overhead will move off the coast tomorrow,
allowing temperatures to warm significantly. Shower chances may
develop Tuesday night into Wednesday ahead of a strong cold front
that should move across the coastal Carolinas Wednesday night.
Canadian high pressure will bring dry and much colder weather for
Thursday into the weekend.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-181245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
335 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 42 74 45 72
Max/Min RH (%) 100 51 100 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 62/1000 1700 63/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 3100
Transport Wind (mph) W 12 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 32400 37200
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 27 Fair 4 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 36 Fair 4 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 6 6 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
67 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-181245-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
335 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 43 73 46 72
Max/Min RH (%) 100 50 100 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 61/1000 1700 62/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 2900
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 23400 40600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 23 Fair 4 Very Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 32 Fair 4 Very Poor 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 8 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
34 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
68 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-181245-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
335 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 43 73 46 72
Max/Min RH (%) 100 50 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 62/1000 1700 61/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 3300
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27000 46200
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 25 Fair 4 Very Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 34 Fair 4 Very Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 8 7 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
37 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
69 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 46 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-181245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
335 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 43 73 46 72
Max/Min RH (%) 100 50 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 65/1100 1700 64/1100
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 2900
Transport Wind (mph) W 9 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 26100 40600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 22 Fair 4 Very Poor 22 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 35 Fair 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 8 9 8
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
36 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
70 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
81 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 60. Minimum RH 44 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ