Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
052
FNUS52 KILM 131812
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
212 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low clouds and drizzle may impact coastal Cape Fear region during
the day Tuesday. High pressure will build through Wednesday
leading to a warming trend. A cold front Wednesday night will
usher in the coolest air since Spring. The late week period will
feature another warmup until the next cold front arrives Monday.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-140715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
212 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 53 71 56 76
Max/Min RH (%) 94 71 94 55
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 G17 NW 6 N 6 G18 N 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 8 G18 N 5 N 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 60/0900 1900 60/0900
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 4200
Transport Wind (mph) N 20 N 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 71400
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 49 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 62 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 48 Gen Good 7 Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
78 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-140715-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
212 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 54 73 56 76
Max/Min RH (%) 96 64 95 49
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NW 4 N 4 N 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 7 G18 Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 59/0900 1900 60/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 4200
Transport Wind (mph) N 20 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64000 63000
ADI Early 10 Poor 59 Gen Good 11 Poor 68 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 7 Poor 81 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 7 2 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 40 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 38 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-140715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
212 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 54 73 56 76
Max/Min RH (%) 100 68 99 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NW 4 N 4 N 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 7 N 4 N 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 64/1000 1900 60/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4000
Transport Wind (mph) N 18 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 60000
ADI Early 9 Poor 53 Gen Good 10 Poor 62 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 65 Good 7 Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 8 5 5
Max LVORI Late 9 3 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 43 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-140715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
212 PM EDT Mon Oct 13 2025
Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 53 75 55 76
Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 99 50
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 6 Lgt/Var N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 64/1000 1900 60/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 4300
Transport Wind (mph) N 18 N 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64800 60200
ADI Early 6 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 9 Poor 68 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 69 Good 7 Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 9 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO