Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
042
FNUS52 KILM 061203
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
803 AM EDT Sun Apr 6 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Warm and breezy conditions continue today. Showers and
thunderstorms increase tonight into Monday ahead of a cold front.
Much cooler and drier air will build across the area Tuesday
through Thursday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-070415-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
803 AM EDT Sun Apr 6 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 60
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 86 67 83
Min/Max RH (%) 53 94 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 9 G23 S 11 G25 SW 11 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 13 G26 SW 10 G21 SW 13 G25
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.23
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0600 2000 70/0900
Dispersion Excellent
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 SW 32
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 122200 144000
ADI Early 76 Good 38 Fair 77 Good
ADI Late 92 Good 23 Fair 91 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 3 Rain
Turner Stability C D C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 39 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
77 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
35 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-070415-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
803 AM EDT Sun Apr 6 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 80
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 50
Max/Min Temp 89 67 84
Min/Max RH (%) 41 92 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 9 G24 S 11 G24 SW 10 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G27 S 9 G19 SW 10 G21
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.54
Precip Duration 1 5
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0600 2000 69/0600
Dispersion Excellent
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 4600
Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 179400 133400
ADI Early 83 Good 35 Fair 87 Good
ADI Late 127 Very Good21 Fair 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 2 Rain
Turner Stability C D C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Patchy frost. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum
RH 32 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-070415-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
803 AM EDT Sun Apr 6 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 70
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 20
Max/Min Temp 87 66 84
Min/Max RH (%) 49 96 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 G21 S 11 G25 SW 10 G22
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G26 S 9 G19 SW 11 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.39
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 9 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0600 2000 69/0800
Dispersion Excellent
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 SW 31
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 158600 158100
ADI Early 74 Good 36 Fair 79 Good
ADI Late 100 Good 21 Fair 93 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 3 Rain
Turner Stability C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
near 100 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 75 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-070415-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
803 AM EDT Sun Apr 6 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 10 90
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 50
Max/Min Temp 90 66 82
Min/Max RH (%) 42 95 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 G22 S 10 G23 SW 10 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 12 G24 S 8 G17 SW 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.59
Precip Duration 1 6
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0600 2000 68/0600
Dispersion Excellent
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 4300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 SW 29
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 179400 124700
ADI Early 89 Good 34 Fair 77 Good
ADI Late 124 Very Good20 Gen Poor 81 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 3 Rain
Turner Stability C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of precipitation
near 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
72 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the lower 50s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW