Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
586
FNUS52 KILM 161918
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
318 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm and mainly dry conditions will be in place for
the next several days before higher rain chances return into the
middle of next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-171130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
318 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 10 0
Min/Max Temp 73 93 67 90
Max/Min RH (%) 91 45 82 39
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 7 SW 8 G19 W 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 9 G19 W 6 W 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 79/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4900
Transport Wind (mph) W 26 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 150800 88200
ADI Early 11 Poor 52 Gen Good 23 Fair 80 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 112 Very Good11 Poor 91 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 5 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-171130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
318 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 73 92 67 89
Max/Min RH (%) 86 43 81 38
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 6 G18 W 8 G20 W 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 10 G22 W 5 W 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/0900 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 4800
Transport Wind (mph) W 29 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 162400 81600
ADI Early 9 Poor 54 Gen Good 35 Fair 72 Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 127 Very Good10 Poor 83 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 4 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-171130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
318 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 73 93 68 89
Max/Min RH (%) 85 44 86 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 7 W 8 G18 W 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 9 G19 W 5 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 79/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5000
Transport Wind (mph) W 25 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 140000 85000
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 54 Gen Good 35 Fair 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 100 Good 11 Poor 85 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 4 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Cooler. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-171130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
318 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 73 92 67 88
Max/Min RH (%) 85 44 84 40
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 7 W 9 G20 W 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 W 11 G21 W 5 W 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 79/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Fair Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5300
Transport Wind (mph) W 29 W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 159500 106000
ADI Early 22 Fair 60 Gen Good 38 Fair 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 123 Very Good10 Poor 101 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 3 4
Max LVORI Late 4 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$