Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
148
FNUS52 KILM 300759
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
359 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid weather continues today with mainly pop-up showers
and storms during the day. An approaching cold front will bring
high chances of showers and thunderstorms mainly for late Sunday
night into Monday. After drier and cooler weather on Tuesday and
Wednesday, the heat will start to return Thursday with humidity
increasing as well.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-010000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
359 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 40 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 5
Max/Min Temp 95 71 83
Min/Max RH (%) 56 100 70
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G17 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 G17 SW 5 NE 6
Precip Amount 0.04 0.41 1.12
Precip Duration 0 2 7
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0800 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 2200
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69000 35200
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 29 Fair
ADI Late 65 Good 10 Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 5 8
Max LVORI Late 2 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 4 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 87 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-010000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
359 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 60 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 4 5
Max/Min Temp 96 71 83
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var NE 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.19 0.65 0.37
Precip Duration 1 3 5
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2000 74/0600
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 3600
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66300 57600
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 40 Fair 40 Fair
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 9 Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 1 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-010000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
359 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 5
Max/Min Temp 94 73 85
Min/Max RH (%) 57 99 73
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 G17 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 G17 SW 4 NE 6
Precip Amount 0.06 0.20 0.67
Precip Duration 1 2 9
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0800 2100 78/0700
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 2500
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55200 40000
ADI Early 40 Fair 45 Gen Good 29 Fair
ADI Late 50 Gen Good 10 Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 9
Max LVORI Late 2 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 5 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-010000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
359 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 60 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 4 5
Max/Min Temp 95 73 85
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 NW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var NE 7
Precip Amount 0.16 0.51 0.14
Precip Duration 1 4 2
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2000 76/0700
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 3600
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 NE 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 61200
ADI Early 41 Gen Good 32 Fair 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 7 Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner