Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
361
FNUS52 KILM 060523
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
123 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain north of the area over the next several
days while a front remains stalled to the south. Frontal moisture
will overrun the high pressure keeping the weather unsettled for
the remainder of the week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-061830-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
123 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 70
Chance Thunder (%) 70 70 70
Max/Min Temp 86 69 84
Min/Max RH (%) 73 100 74
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.27 0.65 0.19
Precip Duration 5 4 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 72/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 3100
Transport Wind (mph) E 13 NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37700 40300
ADI Early 32 Fair 9 Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 38 Fair 8 Poor 39 Fair
Max LVORI Early 7 6 6
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 3 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-061830-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
123 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 60
Chance Thunder (%) 80 80 60
Max/Min Temp 84 68 84
Min/Max RH (%) 77 100 74
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.59 0.55 0.12
Precip Duration 6 4 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 2000 70/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 2600
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 26000 39000
ADI Early 22 Fair 7 Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 30 Fair 7 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 8 5
Max LVORI Late 4 8 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 2 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-061830-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
123 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 70 70
Chance Thunder (%) 80 70 70
Max/Min Temp 84 69 84
Min/Max RH (%) 78 100 75
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.51 1.03 0.27
Precip Duration 6 5 5
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 72/0800
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 2500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27000 35000
ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 33 Fair
ADI Late 28 Fair 7 Poor 37 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 6
Max LVORI Late 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-061830-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
123 AM EDT Wed Aug 6 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 50
Chance Thunder (%) 70 80 50
Max/Min Temp 83 67 83
Min/Max RH (%) 79 100 73
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.50 0.61 0.12
Precip Duration 5 5 4
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1900 68/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 2600
Transport Wind (mph) E 8 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 23200 41600
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 7 Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 23 Fair 8 Poor 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 8 5
Max LVORI Late 4 9 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$