Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
526
FNUS52 KILM 170819
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
419 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid conditions will continue through today with a
better chance for convection than previous days. Thu thru much
of the upcoming weekend, shower and thunderstorms will become
more widespread as a front drops and stalls in the vicinity.
Look for the oppressive heat to come to a temporary end Thu
thru early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-180030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
419 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 5
Max/Min Temp 93 75 92
Min/Max RH (%) 62 95 66
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G19 SW 9 G23 SW 8 G19
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 11 G24 SW 8 G21 SW 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.39 0.29 0.44
Precip Duration 2 2 9
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/0800 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Good
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 4100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69300 86100
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 56 Gen Good 16 Gen Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 3 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-180030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
419 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 50 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 4 5
Max/Min Temp 96 76 93
Min/Max RH (%) 52 96 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 S 8 SW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G17 SW 6 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.24 0.25 0.35
Precip Duration 2 2 6
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0600 2000 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 104000 102600
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 41 Gen Good 66 Good
ADI Late 74 Good 14 Gen Poor 99 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-180030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
419 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 5
Max/Min Temp 95 75 93
Min/Max RH (%) 53 95 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G17 S 8 G22 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G24 SW 6 G18 SW 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.24 0.27 0.27
Precip Duration 2 2 6
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 81/0800 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 88200 91800
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 47 Gen Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 67 Good 13 Gen Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-180030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
419 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 50 80
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 4 5
Max/Min Temp 96 75 95
Min/Max RH (%) 48 97 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 S 7 SW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 SW 6 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.13 0.21 0.29
Precip Duration 1 2 6
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing 6 AM
Precip End Continuing 5 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 6500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 108000 110500
ADI Early 63 Good 51 Gen Good 62 Good
ADI Late 94 Good 14 Gen Poor 99 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch