Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
614
FNUS52 KILM 060553
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
153 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Rain from Tropical Storm Chantal will spread across the area
today, tapering tonight into Monday. More typical Bermuda High
controlled weather will return next week with hotter weather and
scattered mainly afternoon thunderstorms.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-061900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
153 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 30 40
Chance Thunder (%) 50 30 40
Max/Min Temp 86 74 90
Min/Max RH (%) 76 99 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SE 12 G39 S 9 G39 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 15 G39 S 5 SW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.64 0.05 0.06
Precip Duration 8 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 2000 77/0700
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2900 4000
Transport Wind (mph) S 23 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66700 80000
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 30 Fair 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 56 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 4 6 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-061900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
153 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 60 40
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 40
Max/Min Temp 86 73 91
Min/Max RH (%) 77 100 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) E 12 G39 S 6 G39 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SE 12 G39 S 4 SW 5
Precip Amount 1.02 0.11 0.07
Precip Duration 9 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 4 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0600 2100 74/0600
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 4500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 21 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 72000
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 26 Fair 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 50 Gen Good 11 Poor 85 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 4 8 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-061900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
153 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 70 40 30
Chance Thunder (%) 50 40 30
Max/Min Temp 85 73 93
Min/Max RH (%) 77 100 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SE 9 G38 SW 7 G33 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G34 SW 4 SW 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.55 0.03 0.05
Precip Duration 7 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 5 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 75/0600
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2800 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 90100
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 25 Fair 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 53 Gen Good 9 Poor 81 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 4 8 2
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-061900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
153 AM EDT Sun Jul 6 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 80 60 30
Chance Thunder (%) 50 50 30
Max/Min Temp 83 72 94
Min/Max RH (%) 79 100 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 8 G27 SW 4 G18 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 6 G19 Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.95 0.06 0.03
Precip Duration 10 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 1 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2800 6200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44800 86800
ADI Early 36 Fair 12 Poor 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 40 Fair 8 Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 6
Max LVORI Late 4 9 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO