Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
379
FNUS52 KILM 100825
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
325 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A storm system will bring precipitation later this afternoon into
early Saturday. It will start as rain initially, and then
transition into a wintry mix by this evening, with freezing rain
being the dominant precipitation type for the far inland areas. Cold
and dry weather takes over again Saturday, continuing through much
of next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-110030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
325 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 100 30
Precip Type None Frz Rain Rain
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 41 30 49
Min/Max RH (%) 31 97 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 9 G21
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 G19 NW 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.45 0.06
Precip Duration 10 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 9 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 32/1000 1900 42/0600
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 3700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 NW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 19800 85100
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 22 Fair 19 Gen Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 6 4
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Rain 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
73 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum
RH 71 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-110030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
325 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 100 30
Precip Type Rain Frz Rain Rain
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 40 30 47
Min/Max RH (%) 32 96 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 NW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.04 0.40 0.04
Precip Duration 1 10 0
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 8 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 32/1000 2100 38/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 3700
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 NW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 22000 77700
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 24 Fair 12 Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 6 5
Max LVORI Late 2 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Rain 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 20. Maximum RH
72 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-110030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
325 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 100 30
Precip Type Rain Frz Rain Rain
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 42 31 49
Min/Max RH (%) 34 98 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 9 G21
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 G21 NW 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.06 0.40 0.03
Precip Duration 1 9 0
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 9 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 33/1000 1800 42/0600
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1900 3400
Transport Wind (mph) S 6 NW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 11400 68000
ADI Early 11 Poor 7 Poor 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 16 Gen Poor 20 Gen Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 7 4
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 2 Rain 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum
RH 75 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-110030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
325 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Cloudy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 100 0
Precip Type Rain Frz Rain None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 39 30 47
Min/Max RH (%) 34 98 63
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var W 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 NW 7
Precip Amount 0.08 0.37 0.00
Precip Duration 1 10
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 32/1000 2000 38/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1900 3400
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 W 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 17100 68000
ADI Early 11 Poor 8 Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 15 Gen Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 7 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 2 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 1 Rain 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
53 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 20. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman