Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
027
FNUS52 KILM 151737
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
137 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Atlantic high pressure to prevail with mostly typical summertime
weather expected.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-160645-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
137 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 20 40 0 20
Min/Max Temp 74 90 75 92
Max/Min RH (%) 95 59 96 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 4 S 6 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 SW 4 SW 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.01 0.07 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 5 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0800 2000 79/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 4600
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60800 96600
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 65 Good 12 Poor 77 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 66 Good 8 Poor 85 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-160645-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
137 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 0 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 40 0 20
Min/Max Temp 74 91 75 93
Max/Min RH (%) 97 58 98 59
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.08 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM 2 PM
Precip End 8 PM 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 77/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 5200
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 104000
ADI Early 12 Poor 66 Good 10 Poor 79 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 56 Gen Good 8 Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 5
Max LVORI Late 7 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-160645-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
137 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 40 40 0 30
Min/Max Temp 74 91 74 93
Max/Min RH (%) 96 58 99 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 4 S 6 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 Lgt/Var SW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM 8 AM
Precip End 8 PM 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0800 2000 78/0600
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4700
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59200 79900
ADI Early 25 Fair 62 Good 12 Poor 62 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 8 Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 1 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-160645-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
137 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 40 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 40 40 0 30
Min/Max Temp 73 91 73 93
Max/Min RH (%) 99 57 100 56
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 5 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.10 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0 1 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM 8 AM
Precip End 8 PM 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 77/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 5400
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64000 97200
ADI Early 10 Poor 60 Gen Good 11 Poor 69 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 57 Gen Good 7 Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 8 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$