Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
301
FNUS52 KILM 070754
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
354 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A passing disturbance will increase shower and storm activity
today, particularly late this afternoon through tonight.
Scattered severe weather is possible with the main threat being
damaging wind gusts. Unsettled weather will continue through next
week as a series of upper disturbances pass overhead and surface
fronts impact the area and stall near the coast.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-080000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
354 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 50 60
Chance Thunder (%) 40 50 60
Max/Min Temp 93 71 90
Min/Max RH (%) 55 95 61
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 7 G20 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G20 SW 6 SW 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.16 0.15 0.15
Precip Duration 1 2 4
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 1900 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 SW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 108000 108100
ADI Early 78 Good 23 Fair 71 Good
ADI Late 80 Good 11 Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-080000-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
354 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 70
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 70
Max/Min Temp 93 71 90
Min/Max RH (%) 50 94 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 5 SW 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G17 SW 4 SW 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.07 0.06 0.11
Precip Duration 1 2 4
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4700
Transport Wind (mph) W 22 SW 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 127600 117500
ADI Early 80 Good 24 Fair 82 Good
ADI Late 102 Very Good10 Poor 97 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely and a
chance of showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 90.
Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-080000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
354 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 70
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 50
Max/Min Temp 93 73 91
Min/Max RH (%) 51 92 60
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 7 G18 W 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G18 SW 6 SW 8
Precip Amount 0.06 0.06 0.11
Precip Duration 1 2 4
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 4800
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 W 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 118000 115200
ADI Early 78 Good 24 Fair 85 Good
ADI Late 95 Good 15 Gen Poor 106 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-080000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
354 AM EDT Sat Jun 7 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 70
Chance Thunder (%) 20 30 50
Max/Min Temp 94 71 90
Min/Max RH (%) 47 92 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 6 SW 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 9 G17 SW 6 SW 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.01 0.04 0.07
Precip Duration 0 2 4
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 4700
Transport Wind (mph) W 24 W 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 144000 117500
ADI Early 78 Good 27 Fair 93 Good
ADI Late 108 Very Good12 Poor 100 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 90.
Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW