Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
124
FNUS52 KILM 010700
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
300 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024
.DISCUSSION...
An approaching cold front will bring scattered showers and
thunderstorms through this afternoon, particularly closer to the
coast. After drier and cooler weather on Tuesday and Wednesday,
the heat will start to return Thursday with humidity increasing as
well. Heat indices may push above 105 degrees by the weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-012300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
300 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 80 40 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 3 1
Max/Min Temp 82 63 86
Min/Max RH (%) 78 89 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 4 NE 5 G17 NE 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 NE 6 G17 NE 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.55 0.04 0.00
Precip Duration 8 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0600 2000 69/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 4500
Transport Wind (mph) NE 18 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 63000
ADI Early 27 Fair 42 Gen Good 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 44 Gen Good 12 Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 4
Max LVORI Late 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-012300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
300 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 60 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None
LAL 4 3 1
Max/Min Temp 82 64 86
Min/Max RH (%) 59 86 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 NE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 G18 NE 4 NE 5
Precip Amount 0.19 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0600 2000 68/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 5500
Transport Wind (mph) NE 18 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 66000
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 56 Gen Good 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 63 Good 7 Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 4
Max LVORI Late 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
40 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-012300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
300 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 80 60 10
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 4 4 2
Max/Min Temp 84 66 85
Min/Max RH (%) 76 92 55
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 NE 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 NE 6 G17 NE 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.62 0.12 0.01
Precip Duration 8 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 5 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0600 2100 69/0600
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2700 4000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 15 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40500 64000
ADI Early 26 Fair 44 Gen Good 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 12 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 4
Max LVORI Late 3 5 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Light
winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-012300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
300 AM EDT Mon Jul 1 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 10 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 3 1
Max/Min Temp 84 65 86
Min/Max RH (%) 59 86 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 NE 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 G17 NE 4 NE 5
Precip Amount 0.11 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 4 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 12 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0600 2100 68/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 5000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 18 E 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66600 65000
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 65 Good 61 Good
ADI Late 63 Good 11 Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 4
Max LVORI Late 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman