Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
797
FNUS52 KILM 191849
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
249 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024
.DISCUSSION...
After scattered showers Thursday afternoon and evening, drier
weather returns Friday into next week, as high pressure gradually
builds in from the west and northwest.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-201100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
249 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 50 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 84 63 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 99 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 12 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 5600
Transport Wind (mph) NE 13 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 67200
ADI Early 11 Poor 47 Gen Good 22 Fair 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 62 Good 5 Very Poor 61 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 5 8
Max LVORI Late 9 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-201100-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
249 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 40 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 65 84 63 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 59 100 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 5500
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 NE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46000 44000
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-201100-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
249 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 65 84 64 84
Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 100 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 8 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/1000 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 4700
Transport Wind (mph) NE 9 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38700 32900
ADI Early 17 Gen Poor 34 Fair 19 Gen Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 49 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 0 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 1 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-201100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
249 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 66 83 64 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 100 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5400
Transport Wind (mph) NE 12 E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 54000
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 43 Gen Good 22 Fair 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 56 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 2 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-201100-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
249 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 65 84 63 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 61 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0900 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 5000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 E 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44000 40000
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 40 Fair 29 Fair 36 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-201100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
249 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 0 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None None
LAL 2 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 65 84 63 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 100 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 6 PM
Precip End 8 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 73/1000 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 4500
Transport Wind (mph) NE 9 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38700 31500
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 34 Fair 22 Fair 27 Fair
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 0 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...MAS