Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
705
FNUS52 KILM 011838
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
238 PM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Cooler with clouds and fog overnight behind a weak cold front.
Northeasterly winds with near normal temperatures will develop for
the remainder of the week as high pressure builds in from the
north.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-021045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
238 PM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 65 83 62 83
Max/Min RH (%) 100 55 100 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var N 4 Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var N 5 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 66/0600 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 5200
Transport Wind (mph) N 13 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50700 62400
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 31 Fair 22 Fair 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 58 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 8 2 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-021045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
238 PM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 65 82 63 83
Max/Min RH (%) 100 55 100 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 66/0600 1900 68/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 4800
Transport Wind (mph) N 12 NE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45600 48000
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 30 Fair 18 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 0 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability E B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-021045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
238 PM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 82 63 83
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/0900 1900 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 4900
Transport Wind (mph) N 10 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40000 58800
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 38 Fair 22 Fair 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 54 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-021045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
238 PM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 64 82 63 83
Max/Min RH (%) 100 57 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/0900 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4700
Transport Wind (mph) N 9 E 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35100 42300
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 35 Fair 19 Gen Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 0 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21