Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
716
FNUS52 KILM 180553
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
153 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build behind a back door cold front early this
week. Hurricane Erin will remain offshore between Bermuda and the
US East Coast during the middle of this week. A cold front will
approach the area later this week bringing cooler temperatures.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-181900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
153 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 40
Max/Min Temp 93 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 49 99 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.07 0.05 0.05
Precip Duration 0 0 1
Precip Begin 3 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 10 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/1000 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 4100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 6 NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33000 61500
ADI Early 22 Fair 4 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 33 Fair 4 Very Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 7
Max LVORI Late 2 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-181900-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
153 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 30
Max/Min Temp 94 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 51 100 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Precip Amount 0.19 0.15 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 12 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/1000 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4400
Transport Wind (mph) N 6 NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 29400 57200
ADI Early 23 Fair 4 Very Poor 40 Fair
ADI Late 32 Fair 5 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 6 7
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Light
winds.
$$
NCZ087-181900-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
153 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 30
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 30
Max/Min Temp 94 72 88
Min/Max RH (%) 52 99 63
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.10 0.09 0.04
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 12 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/1000 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 3800
Transport Wind (mph) N 7 NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34300 49400
ADI Early 25 Fair 7 Poor 35 Fair
ADI Late 41 Gen Good 9 Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 2 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-181900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
153 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 30
Max/Min Temp 93 72 89
Min/Max RH (%) 48 99 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.06
Precip Duration 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 10 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/1000 1900 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 4700
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37800 70500
ADI Early 18 Gen Poor 4 Very Poor 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 34 Fair 4 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 7
Max LVORI Late 2 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-181900-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
153 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 20 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 20
Max/Min Temp 93 71 89
Min/Max RH (%) 46 100 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.05
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM
Precip End 12 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/1000 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 4800
Transport Wind (mph) NE 6 NE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35400 62400
ADI Early 23 Fair 4 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 40 Fair 4 Very Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 7
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-181900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
153 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 30 20
Max/Min Temp 94 71 88
Min/Max RH (%) 51 100 67
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.07 0.16 0.04
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 12 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 82/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 3700
Transport Wind (mph) N 7 NE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 36400 44400
ADI Early 21 Fair 5 Very Poor 35 Fair
ADI Late 43 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 6
Max LVORI Late 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21