Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
274
FNUS52 KILM 160616
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
216 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Cooler and drier conditions expected through the end of the work
week before warmer and moister conditions return this weekend as
high pressure shifts offshore. A cold front will move through
Sunday night with little rainfall followed by cooler and drier
conditions again through at least Monday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-161930-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
216 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 71 42 68
Min/Max RH (%) 36 76 37
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 7 G17 N 4 N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 8 G17 Lgt/Var N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/0900 1800 54/1000
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3700
Transport Wind (mph) N 18 N 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66600 59200
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 7 Poor 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 67 Good 5 Very Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 3
Max LVORI Late 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-161930-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
216 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 71 43 69
Min/Max RH (%) 34 78 35
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/0900 1800 54/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 3800
Transport Wind (mph) N 16 N 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65600 49400
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 38 Fair
ADI Late 67 Good 4 Very Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-161930-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
216 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 72 45 68
Min/Max RH (%) 41 80 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 5 NE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/1000 1800 56/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3600
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 N 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57000 46800
ADI Early 37 Fair 6 Very Poor 34 Fair
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-161930-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
216 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 73 44 70
Min/Max RH (%) 37 83 38
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 62/1000 1800 55/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 3700
Transport Wind (mph) N 14 N 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 33300
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 28 Fair
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$