Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
704
FNUS52 KILM 090843
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
343 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Cool and dry high pressure will affect the area this weekend.
Expect gusty NE winds during today with gusts to 15 to 20 mph as
CAA and a tightened sfc pg combine. The high will slide off the
coast during Sun into Mon with milder temps returning under
southerly winds. The next CFP will occur late Mon or early Tue
followed by yet another cool high pressure ridging in from the
north.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Unfavorable
Type 1-B...Direction NE...Maximum Wind 37 mph at 1900 ft.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-100045-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
343 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 72 46 76
Min/Max RH (%) 42 92 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 9 G23 NE 6 G17 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 9 G23 NE 4 SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 63/0900 1700 65/1000
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 4100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 17 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59500 57400
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 8 Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 8 Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 54 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-100045-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
343 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 71 47 75
Min/Max RH (%) 39 91 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 8 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 61/0900 1700 64/1000
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3800
Transport Wind (mph) NE 16 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51200 53200
ADI Early 61 Good 7 Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 7 Poor 47 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 50 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-100045-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
343 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 70 47 74
Min/Max RH (%) 37 87 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 10 G18 NE 5 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 9 G17 NE 4 SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 59/0900 1700 65/1100
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 3100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 18 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 40300
ADI Early 64 Good 9 Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 66 Good 8 Poor 29 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 2 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-100045-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
343 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 72 50 75
Min/Max RH (%) 41 90 63
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 9 G23 NE 6 G19 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 9 G23 NE 4 SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/0900 1700 65/1000
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 3700
Transport Wind (mph) E 17 SE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54400 59200
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 8 Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 8 Poor 50 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-100045-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
343 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 72 49 75
Min/Max RH (%) 41 88 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 8 G18 NE 4 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 8 G17 NE 4 SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 62/0900 1700 64/1000
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 3500
Transport Wind (mph) E 16 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49600 49000
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 7 Poor 28 Fair
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 9 Poor 34 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4
Max LVORI Late 2 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-100045-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
343 AM EST Sat Nov 9 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 70 48 73
Min/Max RH (%) 38 87 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 9 G18 NE 5 NE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 9 G17 NE 4 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 61/0900 1700 63/1100
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 2500
Transport Wind (mph) NE 16 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48000 30000
ADI Early 62 Good 9 Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 9 Poor 23 Fair
Max LVORI Early 3 3 4
Max LVORI Late 2 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch