Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
116
FNUS52 KILM 300822
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
422 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Despite a weak front moving across the area Tuesday, warm
temperatures should continue through the end of the week. A stronger
cold front could arrive this weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-010030-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
422 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 87 68 86
Min/Max RH (%) 65 100 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.09 0.11 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 1 PM
Precip End Continuing 5 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 75/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4700
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 61100
ADI Early 30 Fair 17 Gen Poor 32 Fair
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-010030-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
422 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 86 67 84
Min/Max RH (%) 66 100 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.14 0.14 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing 1 PM
Precip End Continuing 2 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57400 49200
ADI Early 21 Fair 12 Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 61 Good 3 Very Poor 33 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 8 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 85 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-010030-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
422 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 20
Precip Type Tstms None Showers
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 88 67 86
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 11 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 65800
ADI Early 30 Fair 19 Gen Poor 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 68 Good 4 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 8 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-010030-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
422 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 87 66 85
Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 58
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var NW 4
Precip Amount 0.05 0.03 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 7 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 11 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 51600
ADI Early 22 Fair 15 Gen Poor 29 Fair
ADI Late 69 Good 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ