Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
540
FNUS52 KILM 011807
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
207 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda high pressure will maintain hot and humid conditions
across the area through Tuesday. Scattered afternoon and evening
thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon. An approaching
cold front will further increase chances for more widespread
thunderstorm activity along with slightly cooler temps Wednesday
through Thursday. Conditions will improve late Friday into the
upcoming weekend with temperatures back to normal along with
diurnally driven convection.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-020715-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
207 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 70 70 50
Chance Thunder (%) 20 70 70 50
Min/Max Temp 75 89 71 90
Max/Min RH (%) 89 65 99 64
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 10 G24 SW 7 G17 SW 5 G18 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 9 G19 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.26 0.24 0.12
Precip Duration 1 5 7 2
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0800 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Good Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 23 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 105800 73500
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 79 Good 21 Fair 40 Fair
ADI Late 14 Gen Poor 78 Good 9 Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 5 6
Max LVORI Late 4 3 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
89 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 90.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-020715-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
207 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 80 70 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 80 70 40
Min/Max Temp 74 88 71 92
Max/Min RH (%) 93 70 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 6 G21 SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.41 0.54 0.04
Precip Duration 1 6 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0800 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 90300 70200
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 77 Good 9 Poor 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 75 Good 7 Poor 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 7 7
Max LVORI Late 5 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability F C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Light
winds.
$$
NCZ087-020715-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
207 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 80 70 30
Chance Thunder (%) 30 80 70 30
Min/Max Temp 73 86 71 92
Max/Min RH (%) 95 72 100 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 8 G19 SW 7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 7 Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.03 0.31 0.43 0.01
Precip Duration 2 6 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0800 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 17 N 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52700 55000
ADI Early 32 Fair 55 Gen Good 9 Poor 33 Fair
ADI Late 16 Gen Poor 56 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 8 7
Max LVORI Late 5 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability D C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-020715-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
207 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 70 70 50
Chance Thunder (%) 20 70 70 50
Min/Max Temp 73 89 71 91
Max/Min RH (%) 95 66 100 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 8 G23 SW 6 SW 4 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 G17 SW 7 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.25 0.24 0.09
Precip Duration 1 5 7 2
Precip Begin 9 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 77/0800 2000 75/0700
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 5100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 94000 61200
ADI Early 24 Fair 77 Good 14 Gen Poor 39 Fair
ADI Late 11 Poor 74 Good 7 Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 6 6
Max LVORI Late 5 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 64 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-020715-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
207 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 70 60 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 70 60 40
Min/Max Temp 73 87 70 91
Max/Min RH (%) 96 65 100 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 6 G18 SW 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.01 0.18 0.27 0.03
Precip Duration 1 5 3 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0800 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 20 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84000 47700
ADI Early 31 Fair 65 Good 9 Poor 33 Fair
ADI Late 11 Poor 69 Good 6 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 8 8
Max LVORI Late 5 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Light
winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-020715-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
207 PM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 40 80 60 20
Chance Thunder (%) 40 80 60 20
Min/Max Temp 73 85 70 91
Max/Min RH (%) 99 71 100 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 7 G17 SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.08 0.22 0.17 0.00
Precip Duration 2 7 3 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 75/0800 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Fair Very Poor
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 5900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 NE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46500 53100
ADI Early 31 Fair 51 Gen Good 9 Poor 31 Fair
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 48 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 8 8
Max LVORI Late 6 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E C F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman