Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
334
FNUS52 KILM 091912
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
312 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Strengthening low pressure treks from the Gulf coast to off the
Carolina coast late tonight through Monday with rain likely,
before pushing off to the east on Tuesday allowing for dry
conditions. High pressure brings less wind and a warming trend
through midweek.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-101115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
312 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Clear
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 50 80 80 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 44 60 44 73
Max/Min RH (%) 91 80 95 29
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 6 G20 NE 11 G23 N 10 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 10 G23 N 12 G23 NW 9 G17
Precip Amount 0.07 0.69 0.59 0.04
Precip Duration 1 10 8 0
Precip Begin 11 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 8 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 55/1200 1900 49/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Excellent
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1900 3900
Transport Wind (mph) E 29 N 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55100 66300
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 24 Fair 24 Fair 64 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 48 Gen Good 26 Fair 69 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 4
Max LVORI Late 5 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 3 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability F D D C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
45 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-101115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
312 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Clear
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 40 80 80 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 42 58 43 73
Max/Min RH (%) 89 69 91 26
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 NE 9 G19 N 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 8 G17 N 9 G18 NW 7
Precip Amount 0.04 0.52 0.45 0.00
Precip Duration 1 9 8
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 53/1200 1900 49/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Excellent
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1700 3900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 26 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44200 62400
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 27 Fair 25 Fair 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 45 Gen Good 27 Fair 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 3
Max LVORI Late 4 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 3 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability F D D B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-101115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
312 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 40 70 80 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 43 57 42 74
Max/Min RH (%) 82 58 89 24
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 5 NE 12 G20 N 8
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 11 G20 N 10 G19 NW 8
Precip Amount 0.02 0.38 0.33 0.00
Precip Duration 1 8 7
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 51/1100 1800 52/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Excellent
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1700 4100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 25 NW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42500 57400
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 31 Fair 26 Fair 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 43 Gen Good 26 Fair 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 4
Max LVORI Late 3 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability F D D C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
35 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Chance of showers 80 percent. South winds around 15 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-101115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
312 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Clear
Precip Type Showers Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 80 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 45 58 43 72
Max/Min RH (%) 98 83 97 31
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 7 G20 N 10 G21 N 8 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 10 G21 N 10 G22 NW 8
Precip Amount 0.17 0.86 0.58 0.00
Precip Duration 5 11 9
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 51/1000 1900 None
Dispersion Very Poor Excellent
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1500 3900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 26 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39000 62400
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 32 Fair 27 Fair 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 9 Poor 42 Gen Good 33 Fair 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 5 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 3 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability F D D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
63 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-101115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
312 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 70 80 90 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 44 56 41 72
Max/Min RH (%) 95 79 97 30
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 6 N 9 G19 N 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 9 G18 N 9 G18 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.14 0.70 0.53 0.00
Precip Duration 4 11 7
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 48/0900 1800 48/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Excellent
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1500 3900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 25 NW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37500 54600
ADI Early 5 Very Poor 34 Fair 29 Fair 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 39 Fair 26 Fair 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5 4
Max LVORI Late 5 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 3 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability F D D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-101115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
312 PM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 50 80 80 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 43 56 40 74
Max/Min RH (%) 89 65 91 25
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 6 N 10 G19 N 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 10 G19 N 8 G18 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.05 0.44 0.35 0.00
Precip Duration 1 9 7
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 5 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 50/1100 1800 52/1000
Dispersion Very Poor Good
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1700 4100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 25 NW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42500 57400
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 30 Fair 24 Fair 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 22 Fair 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 4 4
Max LVORI Late 4 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 3 Rain 5 Rain
Turner Stability F D D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 53 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ