Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
196
FNUS52 KILM 070728
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
228 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Weak flow on the west side of high pressure centered off the
Southeast Coast will maintain warm temperatures and elevated
humidity through Fri with rain chances thru Thursday. A cold
front will then push through late Fri followed by cooler and
drier high pressure into Sun before the high shifts offshore
bringing back warmer and moister conditions by early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-072330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
228 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 20
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 78 63 81
Min/Max RH (%) 82 99 72
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.09 0.04 0.02
Precip Duration 2 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1600 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 2500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 NW 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 16000 20000
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 15 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 9 8 9
Max LVORI Late 6 8 4
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-072330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
228 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 30 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 78 65 80
Min/Max RH (%) 77 99 67
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.12 0.05 0.02
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 1600 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 2300
Transport Wind (mph) W 7 N 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 15400 18400
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor
ADI Late 16 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 26 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 9
Max LVORI Late 5 9 3
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-072330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
228 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 30 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 2 1
Max/Min Temp 77 66 81
Min/Max RH (%) 86 100 74
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.19 0.05 0.02
Precip Duration 4 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/1000 1600 74/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1700 2800
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 N 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 13600 22400
ADI Early 11 Poor 3 Very Poor 17 Gen Poor
ADI Late 14 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 23 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 6 9 4
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ023-032-039-072330-
Darlington-Florence-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville,
Florence, and Kingstree
228 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 80 30 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 75 65 80
Min/Max RH (%) 89 100 72
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.32 0.06 0.04
Precip Duration 7 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1100 1600 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1500 2600
Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 N 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 12000 20800
ADI Early 11 Poor 4 Very Poor 16 Gen Poor
ADI Late 14 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 22 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 9
Max LVORI Late 7 9 4
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-024-033-072330-
Marlboro-Dillon-Marion-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Dillon, Marion,
and Mullins
228 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 70 30 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 2 1
Max/Min Temp 76 65 80
Min/Max RH (%) 82 100 69
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.21 0.05 0.03
Precip Duration 5 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/1000 1700 72/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1800 2300
Transport Wind (mph) SE 7 N 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 12600 18400
ADI Early 11 Poor 3 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 3 Very Poor 23 Fair
Max LVORI Early 8 9 9
Max LVORI Late 6 9 4
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
98 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch