Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
551
FNUS52 KILM 041242
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
842 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Well-above normal temperatures and dewpoints are expected through
the weekend as high pressure ridges into the area from the east.
The next significant chance of rain will be Sunday night into
Monday night ahead of another cold front. Much cooler and drier
air will follow next Tuesday into midweek.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-050445-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
842 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 63 84
Min/Max RH (%) 56 99 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 SW 6 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 Lgt/Var SW 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0900 1900 73/1000
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73600 90000
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 22 Fair 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 10 Poor 79 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
67 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
40 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum
RH 81 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-050445-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
842 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 64 87
Min/Max RH (%) 46 99 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 S 5 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var S 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0800 2000 73/1000
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 5000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 79500 85000
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 17 Gen Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 71 Good 8 Poor 81 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Not as warm.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of
precipitation 90 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Clear, colder. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
69 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-050445-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
842 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 86 64 86
Min/Max RH (%) 54 100 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 5 S 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 7 Lgt/Var S 8 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 2000 73/1000
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 4600
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 78200
ADI Early 46 Gen Good 21 Fair 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 56 Gen Good 8 Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
68 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-050445-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
842 AM EDT Fri Apr 4 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 64 87
Min/Max RH (%) 47 100 43
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 4 S 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var S 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0900 2000 73/1000
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74100 80000
ADI Early 37 Fair 11 Poor 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 10 Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Cooler. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of showers
70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
38 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s.
Maximum RH 71 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
39 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...VAO