Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
503
FNUS52 KILM 150808
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
308 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024
.DISCUSSION...
After cloudy skies and early morning spotty drizzle, skies will
partially clear from SW to NE later this morning thru this
afternoon. Temps today will rise into the 60s (near normal).
Breezy and gusty NW to N winds today will diminish quickly by and
after sunset, to less than 5 mph for tonight under clear skies.
Dry high pressure will prevail this weekend with sunny
days and clear nights with daily temps near normal. The high will
slide off the Carolina coasts early next week allowing a warm-up
to occur across the area with daily highs reaching the 70s. A cold
front will bring increased rain chances to the area late Wed into
Thu.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-160015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
308 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 63 41 67
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 11 G27 N 5 G19 N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 11 G26 NW 4 N 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1700 53/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3800
Transport Wind (mph) N 24 N 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84000 64600
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 10 Poor 64 Good
ADI Late 63 Good 6 Very Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5
Max LVORI Late 3 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
46 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-160015-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
308 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 63 42 67
Min/Max RH (%) 63 100 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 8 Lgt/Var N 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 9 G18 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1700 53/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3700
Transport Wind (mph) N 23 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 80500 55500
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 7 Poor 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 78 Good 6 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 44 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-160015-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
308 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 64 42 67
Min/Max RH (%) 60 99 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) N 10 G19 Lgt/Var N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 9 G19 Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 49/0600 1700 52/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3500
Transport Wind (mph) N 23 N 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82800 49000
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 80 Good 6 Very Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 45 percent. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
69 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-160015-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
308 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 64 42 67
Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 9 G23 N 4 G17 N 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 10 G24 Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1700 53/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 3500
Transport Wind (mph) N 23 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82800 52500
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 7 Poor 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 81 Good 5 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 3 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-160015-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
308 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 65 41 66
Min/Max RH (%) 58 100 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 8 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 9 G18 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 50/0900 1700 52/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3500
Transport Wind (mph) N 22 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83600 52500
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 80 Good 5 Very Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 3 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-160015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
308 AM EST Fri Nov 15 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 65 42 67
Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NW 8 G18 Lgt/Var N 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) N 9 G19 Lgt/Var N 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 50/0900 1700 52/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 3500
Transport Wind (mph) N 23 N 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 89700 45500
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 82 Good 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 3 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
72 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch