Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
091
FNUS52 KILM 281300
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
800 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure will move over the area through Saturday.
Afternoon humidity will drop under 25 percent with pockets of
humidity dipping into the teens today and possibly Saturday. Winds
under 10 mph today will increase Saturday with potential for
gusts in excess of 20 mph ahead of a dry cold front. The front
will bring cooler temperatures, but very dry conditions and poor
overnight humidity recoveries will continue into the middle of
next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-010500-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
800 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 67 46 74
Min/Max RH (%) 23 77 28
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 5 SW 5 SW 7 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 7 SW 5 SW 10 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 53/0900 1800 57/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 7000
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 SW 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 84000 175000
ADI Early 74 Good 8 Poor 80 Good
ADI Late 74 Good 8 Poor 110 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 3
Max LVORI Late 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present. A seabreeze will develop at the
beaches around 1 PM. South winds behind the seabreeze front will
spread 5-10 miles inland by 3 PM, and 10-20 miles inland by 5 PM.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum
RH 56 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 28 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
59 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 30 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the
lower 70s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent.
South winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds around 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-010500-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
800 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 68 45 75
Min/Max RH (%) 19 68 27
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 4 S 4 SW 7 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 6 SW 4 SW 10 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 52/0900 1800 56/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 7000
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 W 25
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96900 175000
ADI Early 81 Good 7 Poor 74 Good
ADI Late 97 Good 8 Poor 125 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 3
Max LVORI Late 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
49 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 26 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
61 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 28 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 45 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
39 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-010500-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
800 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 68 46 74
Min/Max RH (%) 22 71 27
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 SW 7 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 4 SW 10 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 52/0900 1800 57/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 7000
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 W 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 87000 182000
ADI Early 66 Good 7 Poor 78 Good
ADI Late 93 Good 8 Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 3
Max LVORI Late 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...A seabreeze will develop at the beaches around 1 PM.
South winds behind the seabreeze front will spread 5-10 miles
inland by 3 PM, and 10-15 miles inland by 5 PM.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum
RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH 61 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH 31 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum
RH 51 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-010500-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
800 AM EST Fri Feb 28 2025
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 69 45 74
Min/Max RH (%) 18 69 27
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 6 SW 4 W 10 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 52/0900 1800 55/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 7100
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 W 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96900 184600
ADI Early 68 Good 7 Poor 73 Good
ADI Late 96 Good 8 Poor 104 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 3 3 3
Max LVORI Late 1 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
50 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 25 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
63 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
28 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Warmer. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum
RH 45 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. South
winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 86 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
38 percent. West winds around 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...TRA