Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
854
FNUS52 KILM 060733
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
333 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure will wedge in from the north through early next
week before a stronger cold front pushes through. High pressure
builds back in with mostly dry conditions expected through the
rest of the period.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-062345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
333 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 82 58 84
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/1000 1900 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4700
Transport Wind (mph) NE 10 W 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49000 37600
ADI Early 37 Fair 14 Gen Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 56 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 71 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum
RH 78 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-062345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
333 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 82 59 84
Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0900 1900 72/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 7 NW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34300 37800
ADI Early 28 Fair 12 Poor 30 Fair
ADI Late 42 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 8 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
87 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-054>056-058-059-062345-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-
Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Kingstree,
Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City,
Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs,
Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
333 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 81 58 85
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/1000 1900 71/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4700
Transport Wind (mph) NE 8 NW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39200 32900
ADI Early 37 Fair 16 Gen Poor 24 Fair
ADI Late 45 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
73 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
79 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-062345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
333 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 81 59 85
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/1000 1900 70/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4300
Transport Wind (mph) NE 6 N 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28200 38700
ADI Early 23 Fair 13 Gen Poor 25 Fair
ADI Late 35 Fair 4 Very Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 3 9 3
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
71 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$