Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
731
FNUS52 KILM 200556
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
156 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Northeast winds expected over the next few days in a pressure
gradient between high pressure to our north and Hurricane Erin
well offshore. A cold front will approach the area later this
week bringing cooler temperatures.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-201900-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
156 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 20
Chance Thunder (%) 30 20 20
Max/Min Temp 86 73 90
Min/Max RH (%) 62 93 62
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G18 N 9 G22 N 11 G23
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 9 G20 N 9 G23 NW 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.02 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 6 AM 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0600 2000 75/0600
Dispersion Excellent
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 4100
Transport Wind (mph) NE 20 N 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74000 73800
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 22 Fair 65 Good
ADI Late 60 Gen Good 18 Gen Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
90 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-201900-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
156 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 73 90
Min/Max RH (%) 58 94 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 N 6 N 8 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 N 6 G18 N 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0600 1900 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 4600
Transport Wind (mph) NE 16 N 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 82800
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 67 Good
ADI Late 61 Good 14 Gen Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 3 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-201900-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
156 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 73 92
Min/Max RH (%) 58 93 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 5 G17 N 6 G18 NW 8 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) N 9 G18 N 6 G18 NW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0600 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 5200
Transport Wind (mph) N 18 N 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72000 72800
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 21 Fair 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 73 Good 11 Poor 79 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-201900-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
156 AM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 88 72 91
Min/Max RH (%) 56 95 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 N 4 N 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 N 4 N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 72/0600 1900 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 5300
Transport Wind (mph) N 15 N 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64500 63600
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 14 Gen Poor 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 59 Gen Good 7 Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21