Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
182
FNUS52 KILM 072108
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
408 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front stalled over the area will move north as a warm
front on Saturday. Temperatures will warm into Sunday before a
stronger cold front late Sunday brings much cooler, cloudy and
unsettled conditions for the first half of next week.
Fog potential for tonight is moderate in coastal S.C.
NCZ105>110-081315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
408 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 49 69 56 77
Max/Min RH (%) 92 73 100 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var NE 4 SW 5 G17 SW 7 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 4 Lgt/Var SW 8 G18 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 9 PM Continuing 1 PM
Precip End Continuing 12 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 51/0600 1700 62/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1900 3300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 NW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 19000 49500
ADI Early 7 Poor 18 Gen Poor 16 Gen Poor 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 19 Gen Poor 16 Gen Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 4 7 5
Max LVORI Late 4 4 6 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 5 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Fog
Turner Stability F C E C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 85 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 40s.
Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows around 40.
Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the upper 50s.
Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 80 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-081315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
408 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 49 70 57 78
Max/Min RH (%) 87 60 100 47
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 W 7 G17
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 8 G19 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 10 PM 7 AM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 52/0600 1700 62/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 3100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 NW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24000 46500
ADI Early 8 Poor 20 Gen Poor 12 Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 26 Fair 14 Gen Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 6 5
Max LVORI Late 3 3 5 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 81 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the upper
30s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 50s.
Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower
60s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Colder. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 47 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-081315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
408 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 53 74 58 79
Max/Min RH (%) 99 71 100 57
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 5 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 SW 6 W 5
Precip Amount 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 7 PM 1 PM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 58/0900 1700 62/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 3800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 31200 68400
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 14 Gen Poor 8 Poor 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 29 Fair 10 Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 5 6 5
Max LVORI Late 6 4 7 3
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 2 Fog 6 Fog
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 6 Fog 7
Turner Stability F B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 87 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Cooler.
Highs around 60. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-081315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
408 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0 30
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 52 76 58 79
Max/Min RH (%) 94 63 99 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 W 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 7 PM 7 AM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 59/1000 1700 62/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 3800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 W 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 31200 64600
ADI Early 8 Poor 15 Gen Poor 12 Poor 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 29 Fair 14 Gen Poor 68 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 3 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 84 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum
RH 77 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain.
Colder. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 88 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Cooler.
Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 49 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ