Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
829
FNUS52 KILM 020528
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1228 AM EST Tue Dec 2 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will move through today bringing significant rainfall
to the area. Dry high pressure will return later today through
Thursday with a disturbance bringing another chance of rain
starting as early as late Thursday and continuing into the
weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-021830-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
1228 AM EST Tue Dec 2 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Clear
Precip Type Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0
Max/Min Temp 63 31 54
Min/Max RH (%) 83 99 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) W 5 G17 NW 5 N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 8 G19 N 4 G17 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.72 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 8
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) Continued 1800 38/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1300 2500
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 NW 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 26000 17500
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 10 Poor 20 Gen Poor
ADI Late 26 Fair 7 Poor 19 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 5 6 7
Max LVORI Late 5 6 2
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D F C
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 50s.
Minimum RH 84 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows around 40. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of rain 90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower
50s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
62 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-021830-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
1228 AM EST Tue Dec 2 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 55 29 53
Min/Max RH (%) 83 99 51
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.81 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 7
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 3 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) None 1700 37/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1200 2600
Transport Wind (mph) NW 14 N 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 16800 15600
ADI Early 10 Poor 8 Poor 21 Fair
ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 7 Poor 20 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 6 7 7
Max LVORI Late 5 6 2
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Cooler. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-021830-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
1228 AM EST Tue Dec 2 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 60 32 54
Min/Max RH (%) 82 97 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NW 4 NW 4 N 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) W 6 G17 N 4 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.74 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 7
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) Continued 1700 37/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1300 2500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 16 NW 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 20800 15000
ADI Early 16 Gen Poor 9 Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 23 Fair 7 Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 6 6 6
Max LVORI Late 5 6 3
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower 50s.
Minimum RH 87 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 90 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs in the lower
50s. Minimum RH 84 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
63 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-021830-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
1228 AM EST Tue Dec 2 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 100 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 54 29 52
Min/Max RH (%) 82 100 54
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) N 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.89 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 7
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 3 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 42/0600 1700 37/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1200 2500
Transport Wind (mph) NW 13 N 6
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 15600 15000
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
ADI Late 18 Gen Poor 6 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early 7 7 7
Max LVORI Late 5 8 3
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability D F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain likely. Cooler. Highs in the upper
40s. Minimum RH 84 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Chance of rain 80 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 50s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$