Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
508
FNUS52 KILM 301917
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
317 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
.DISCUSSION...
An approaching cold front will bring high chances of showers and
thunderstorms mainly for tonight into Monday. After drier and
cooler weather on Tuesday and Wednesday, the heat will start to
return Thursday with humidity increasing as well.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-011130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
317 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 70 40 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 4 3 1
Min/Max Temp 72 83 62 86
Max/Min RH (%) 96 75 93 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 G17 W 4 NE 5 NE 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 NE 6 NE 5 G17 NE 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.20 0.50 0.05 0.00
Precip Duration 3 6 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0600 2000 66/0700
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2300 4900
Transport Wind (mph) NE 18 NE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41400 73500
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 33 Fair 37 Fair 66 Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 47 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 66 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 5 4 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 4 Rain 7
Turner Stability D C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-011130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
317 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 60 50 20 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 4 3 1
Min/Max Temp 72 82 63 87
Max/Min RH (%) 98 58 90 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 NW 4 G18 NE 4 NE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 7 G18 NE 4 NE 6
Precip Amount 0.68 0.16 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 6 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 4 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0600 2000 66/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 2 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 5200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 18 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59400 62400
ADI Early 35 Fair 45 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 71 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 57 Gen Good 11 Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 7 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E C E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
45 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-011130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
317 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 70 50 20
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers
LAL 3 5 4 1
Min/Max Temp 74 85 65 84
Max/Min RH (%) 97 75 93 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 G17 Lgt/Var NE 5 NE 6 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 6 NE 6 G17 NE 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.24 0.62 0.12 0.01
Precip Duration 2 8 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0600 2000 67/0600
Dispersion Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 3 2 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 3400
Transport Wind (mph) NE 16 NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38400 47600
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 26 Fair 37 Fair 40 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 43 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 6 3 4 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 4 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 3 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-011130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
317 PM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 40 30 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms None
LAL 4 4 3 1
Min/Max Temp 73 84 64 85
Max/Min RH (%) 99 60 89 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var NE 5 NE 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var NE 7 NE 5 NE 6
Precip Amount 0.77 0.10 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 6 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 76/0600 2000 None
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 4500
Transport Wind (mph) NE 17 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52700 54000
ADI Early 27 Fair 41 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 57 Gen Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 56 Gen Good 12 Poor 59 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 4 4
Max LVORI Late 8 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E C D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$