Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
233
FNUS52 KILM 171747
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
147 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A warming trend is expected Saturday and Sunday as high pressure
moves off the coast. A cold front could be accompanied by a few
showers Sunday night. Below normal temperatures and dry weather is
then expected for the rest of next week as high pressure builds
toward the area.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-180700-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
147 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 43 76 53 79
Max/Min RH (%) 94 42 98 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var S 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 67/1100 1800 62/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34200 127200
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 15 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 93 Good
ADI Late 2 Very Poor 39 Fair 5 Very Poor 93 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 5 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-180700-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
147 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 45 77 54 79
Max/Min RH (%) 94 44 100 52
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 G18
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var S 9 G23
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 67/1100 1800 60/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38000 129600
ADI Early 3 Very Poor 22 Fair 6 Very Poor 102 Very Good
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 46 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 99 Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
76 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
38 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-180700-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
147 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 47 77 55 79
Max/Min RH (%) 97 47 99 58
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var S 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 68/1100 1800 63/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 SW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 33600 121900
ADI Early 3 Very Poor 18 Gen Poor 5 Very Poor 107 Very Good
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 38 Fair 5 Very Poor 93 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-180700-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
147 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 47 78 54 79
Max/Min RH (%) 98 46 99 53
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var S 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1800 67/1100 1800 60/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 24
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41000 132000
ADI Early 4 Very Poor 21 Fair 6 Very Poor 86 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 48 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability F B F C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
74 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
37 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Light winds.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
TRA