Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
064
FNUS52 KILM 010654
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
254 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Bermuda high pressure will maintain hot and humid conditions
across the area through Tuesday. Scattered afternoon and evening
thunderstorms will be possible today. An approaching cold front
will further increase chances for more widespread thunderstorm
activity along with slightly cooler temps during the Wed thru Thu
period. Conditions will improve late Fri into the upcoming
weekend with temperatures back to normal along with diurnally
driven convection.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-012000-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
254 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 20 90
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 70
Max/Min Temp 91 74 89
Min/Max RH (%) 58 89 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 9 G23 SW 7
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 11 G23 SW 7 G19 SW 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.36
Precip Duration 1 1 9
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0800 2000 78/0800
Dispersion Good
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 3800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 26 SW 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 119600 87400
ADI Early 93 Good 41 Gen Good 76 Good
ADI Late 104 Very Good15 Gen Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-012000-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
254 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 90
Chance Thunder (%) 30 20 70
Max/Min Temp 91 73 87
Min/Max RH (%) 56 94 70
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 6 G19 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 7 G20 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.33
Precip Duration 1 1 9
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 3300
Transport Wind (mph) S 21 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 109200 59400
ADI Early 86 Good 23 Fair 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 108 Very Good11 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-012000-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
254 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 90
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 70
Max/Min Temp 92 73 86
Min/Max RH (%) 54 98 70
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 S 8 G17 SW 6
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G18 SW 6 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.02 0.05 0.28
Precip Duration 1 2 9
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 3000
Transport Wind (mph) S 21 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 115500 42000
ADI Early 75 Good 29 Fair 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 88 Good 18 Gen Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 5 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
94 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-012000-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
254 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 30 90
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 70
Max/Min Temp 91 73 88
Min/Max RH (%) 57 95 66
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 S 8 G22 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 9 G21 SW 5 G17 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.24
Precip Duration 1 1 9
Precip Begin 8 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 2000 77/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 3900
Transport Wind (mph) SW 21 SW 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98700 81900
ADI Early 80 Good 35 Fair 71 Good
ADI Late 92 Good 12 Poor 74 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 2 5 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. East winds
around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-012000-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
254 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 90
Chance Thunder (%) 30 40 70
Max/Min Temp 91 72 87
Min/Max RH (%) 54 97 65
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 4 S 6 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 7 G17 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.01 0.02 0.19
Precip Duration 1 2 9
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 3600
Transport Wind (mph) S 21 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 113400 64800
ADI Early 77 Good 31 Fair 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 119 Very Good11 Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-012000-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
254 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 50 90
Chance Thunder (%) 30 50 90
Max/Min Temp 91 72 86
Min/Max RH (%) 55 100 70
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 S 6 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 8 G17 SW 4 SW 5
Precip Amount 0.01 0.07 0.23
Precip Duration 1 2 9
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0800 2000 75/0800
Dispersion Fair
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 3200
Transport Wind (mph) S 21 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 115500 44800
ADI Early 67 Good 27 Fair 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 110 Very Good12 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...dch