Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
951
FNUS52 KILM 042030
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
330 PM EST Wed Dec 4 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure to our south will slide offshore tonight ahead of a
strong cold front. Thursday will be warm and windy ahead of the
front, morning gusts near 30-40 mph. The front will move through
in the late afternoon with Canadian high pressure building in by
the weekend, cold, dry conditions returning. The high will start
to move offshore over the weekend with another warmup and some
possible rain chances in store for early next week ahead of
another front.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-051230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
330 PM EST Wed Dec 4 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 36 62 21 45
Max/Min RH (%) 68 37 61 27
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G20 SW 12 G28 N 8 G20 N 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G25 W 11 G26 N 6 G18 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 51/0900 1700 26/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4800 3900
Transport Wind (mph) W 30 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 144000 62400
ADI Early 13 Gen Poor 88 Good 15 Gen Poor 49 Gen Good
ADI Late 18 Gen Poor 90 Good 10 Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 2 2 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E D E C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
74 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-051230-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
330 PM EST Wed Dec 4 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 37 61 22 44
Max/Min RH (%) 62 30 60 24
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G18 SW 12 G26 N 7 G19 N 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G21 NW 11 G25 N 4 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 49/0900 1700 27/0800
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 4000
Transport Wind (mph) W 30 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 147000 64000
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 86 Good 14 Gen Poor 51 Gen Good
ADI Late 23 Fair 89 Good 7 Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E D E B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 27 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
35 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 70 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-051230-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
330 PM EST Wed Dec 4 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 36 62 23 45
Max/Min RH (%) 66 40 61 27
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 G17 SW 11 G25 N 7 G18 N 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 8 G21 W 11 G24 N 6 G18 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 51/0900 1700 None
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 3600
Transport Wind (mph) W 29 N 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 133400 57600
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 84 Good 13 Gen Poor 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 20 Gen Poor 86 Good 10 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 2 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 2 2 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E D E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 50. Minimum RH 30 percent. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
39 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-051230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
330 PM EST Wed Dec 4 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 36 61 22 45
Max/Min RH (%) 68 32 61 25
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 SW 11 G26 N 7 G17 N 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G21 NW 11 G24 N 4 NW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1700 49/0900 1700 None
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 3900
Transport Wind (mph) W 28 NW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 137200 58500
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 84 Good 13 Gen Poor 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 22 Fair 86 Good 7 Poor 54 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 2 2 2 2
Max LVORI Late 2 2 3 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D D E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 20. Maximum RH 81 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 29 percent.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Not as cool. Highs around 60. Minimum RH
38 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Not as cool. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Warmer. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 73 percent. South winds around
5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...LEW