Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
203
FNUS52 KILM 191423
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
923 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Rain will slowly taper off as low pressure moves north and a cold
front approaches later today. The front will move through this
evening. Arctic high pressure then builds across the area through
early next week with very cold temperatures lasting into midweek.
Confidence is increasing on having wintry precipitation across the
area Tuesday night into Wednesday.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-200630-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
923 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Showers None None
Precip Chance (%) 80 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 64 27 39
Min/Max RH (%) 74 87 30
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 5 G17 W 9 G19 NW 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G20 NW 7 G18 N 6
Precip Amount 0.27 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 59/1100 1700 29/0600
Dispersion Good
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2100 4800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 23 NW 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48300 76800
ADI Early 28 Fair 19 Gen Poor 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 40 Fair 15 Gen Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 3
Max LVORI Late 4 3 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 19. Maximum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of snow. Highs
in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 32 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Snow. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Chance of snow 80 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of snow. Highs
in the lower 30s. Minimum RH 52 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 14. Maximum RH
88 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the
upper 30s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of rain 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
freezing rain, snow and sleet. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain and snow.
Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-200630-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
923 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Showers None None
Precip Chance (%) 80 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 64 27 38
Min/Max RH (%) 71 80 25
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var W 8 G17 NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 9 G21 NW 5 N 5
Precip Amount 0.27 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 4
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/1300 1700 28/0600
Dispersion Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2300 4700
Transport Wind (mph) W 24 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55200 70500
ADI Early 14 Gen Poor 21 Fair 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 3 3
Max LVORI Late 5 3 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 18. Maximum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of snow. Highs
in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 27 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Snow. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Chance of snow 80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 13. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and freezing
rain. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow,
freezing rain and sleet. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
88 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-200630-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
923 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Showers None None
Precip Chance (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 65 28 39
Min/Max RH (%) 70 79 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 G18 W 9 G19 NW 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 10 G20 NW 6 G17 N 5
Precip Amount 0.20 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 58/1000 1700 29/0600
Dispersion Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3100 4800
Transport Wind (mph) W 28 N 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 86800 72000
ADI Early 32 Fair 16 Gen Poor 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 64 Good 13 Gen Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 3 3
Max LVORI Late 4 3 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 20. Maximum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Highs
in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 36 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Snow and freezing rain. Lows in the lower 20s.
Maximum RH 82 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Minimum RH
54 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 16. Maximum RH
89 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain and
freezing rain. Highs in the upper 30s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with a 40 percent chance of freezing
rain and snow. Lows in the mid 20s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200630-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
923 AM EST Sun Jan 19 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Showers None None
Precip Chance (%) 60 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 63 26 38
Min/Max RH (%) 67 77 27
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var W 8 G17 NW 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 10 G21 NW 5 N 5
Precip Amount 0.19 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 3
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 2 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 57/1200 1800 28/0600
Dispersion Fair
DSI 1 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3200 4700
Transport Wind (mph) W 30 NW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96000 65800
ADI Early 15 Gen Poor 20 Gen Poor 55 Gen Good
ADI Late 69 Good 12 Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 3 3
Max LVORI Late 5 3 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 19. Maximum RH
53 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of snow. Highs
in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 29 percent. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Snow. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Chance of snow 80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. Minimum RH
43 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 14. Maximum RH
83 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and freezing
rain. Highs in the mid 30s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and
freezing rain. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH 87 percent.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s. Minimum RH
48 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 20s. Maximum RH
89 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman