Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
035
FNUS52 KILM 191223
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
823 AM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure offshore continues a warming trend through the
weekend. Unseasonably warm temperatures will continue into next
week. Rain chances increase for the middle of next week as a front
slowly approaches and then potentially stalls across the region.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-200430-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
823 AM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 82 59 89
Min/Max RH (%) 51 95 46
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 7 SW 5
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 9 G17 SW 4 SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 2000 69/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4900
Transport Wind (mph) S 21 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 98700 49000
ADI Early 79 Good 15 Gen Poor 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 81 Good 10 Poor 42 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
65 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-200430-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
823 AM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 59 88
Min/Max RH (%) 42 95 39
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 6 SW 4
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 8 G17 SW 4 SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0900 2000 67/0900
Dispersion Fair
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5300
Transport Wind (mph) S 20 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 110000 42400
ADI Early 76 Good 15 Gen Poor 40 Fair
ADI Late 97 Good 11 Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-200430-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
823 AM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 84 59 87
Min/Max RH (%) 47 97 42
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 8 G17 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0900 2000 67/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5200 4200
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 37800
ADI Early 71 Good 14 Gen Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 80 Good 7 Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-200430-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
823 AM EDT Sat Apr 19 2025
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 87 59 87
Min/Max RH (%) 42 98 37
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) S 7 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/0900 2000 67/0900
Dispersion Poor
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 17 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95200 40000
ADI Early 71 Good 12 Poor 36 Fair
ADI Late 105 Very Good9 Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21