Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
131
FNUS52 KILM 101821
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
221 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will develop off the Florida East Coast along a
stalled cold front tonight and move up the coast Saturday. As the
low moves north this weekend gusty winds and rain are expected
along with cool temperatures. Dry weather and near normal
temperatures are expected for most of next week.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-110730-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
221 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 60 80 80 50
Chance Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0
Min/Max Temp 60 70 62 72
Max/Min RH (%) 100 88 100 84
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 8 G23 NE 8 G21 N 10 G24 N 9 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 G20 NE 10 G23 N 10 G22 N 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.30 0.77 0.68 0.41
Precip Duration 3 11 7 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 64/0800 1900 64/0600
Dispersion Good Excellent
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 2000 2200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 24 N 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48000 46200
ADI Early 22 Fair 33 Fair 23 Fair 40 Fair
ADI Late 15 Gen Poor 43 Gen Good 22 Fair 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 5
Max LVORI Late 5 4 5 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 3 Rain 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 3 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability D D D D
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
70 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
92 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
85 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-110730-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
221 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 70 70 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 60 69 62 72
Max/Min RH (%) 98 82 100 80
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 6 G18 N 7 G19 N 9 G21 N 9 G21
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 6 NE 9 G21 N 9 G21 N 9 G21
Precip Amount 0.08 0.41 0.58 0.21
Precip Duration 2 6 7 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 62/0600 1900 63/0600
Dispersion Fair Excellent
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1800 2200
Transport Wind (mph) NE 22 N 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 39600 50600
ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 34 Fair 21 Fair 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 14 Gen Poor 39 Fair 21 Fair 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 5 4 5 4
Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 4 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 98 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
64 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
95 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
51 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
82 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-110730-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
221 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 60 80 70 40
Chance Thunder (%) 20 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 61 69 62 71
Max/Min RH (%) 99 89 100 84
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 9 G25 N 9 G21 N 9 G23 N 9 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 8 G22 N 11 G23 N 9 G21 N 9 G18
Precip Amount 0.24 0.55 0.58 0.16
Precip Duration 5 8 7 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 63/0600 1900 None
Dispersion Good Excellent
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1700 2000
Transport Wind (mph) NE 25 N 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42500 44000
ADI Early 24 Fair 36 Fair 24 Fair 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 19 Gen Poor 43 Gen Good 22 Fair 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 5 5 4
Max LVORI Late 5 4 5 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 4 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 4 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability D D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
66 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
96 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-110730-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
221 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 50 70 40
Chance Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 59 68 61 71
Max/Min RH (%) 96 79 100 79
Wind 20ft/Early (mph) NE 7 G17 N 8 G19 N 9 G20 N 9 G19
Wind 20ft/Late (mph) NE 7 N 10 G20 N 9 G18 N 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.06 0.32 0.51 0.21
Precip Duration 2 2 4 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 61/0600 1900 61/0600
Dispersion Good Excellent
DSI 1 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 1900 2400
Transport Wind (mph) NE 24 N 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45600 55200
ADI Early 21 Fair 38 Fair 20 Gen Poor 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 16 Gen Poor 43 Gen Good 20 Gen Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 3 4 5 4
Max LVORI Late 4 4 5 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 4 Rain 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 4 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability D D D D
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
48 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$