505
FXUS63 KICT 061130
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
630 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Frost/freeze possible tonight-early Monday with some frost
  potential possibly lingering into Mon night/early Tue.

- Mild and dry through the remainder of the forecast.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Very dry sub-cloud layer air has allowed the light precipitation to
sublimate with only a sprinkle or flurry possible early this morning
across parts of southeast KS before clouds begin to clear from west
to east as we move through the day. The dense mid clouds have also
acted like a blanket keeping minimum temperatures above forecast
values over much of the area but as clouds thin early this morning,
we could still see a few locations in central KS fall below freezing.

Better chances for sub-freezing air may arrive tomorrow night and a
freeze watch was issued. For tomorrow night, sfc high pressure will
settle south across into the Southern Plains which should result in
much better radiational cooling. There is some concern that moist
soils and evapotranspiration may keep temperatures from plummeting
in some locations but better probabilities for a freeze are
anticipated.

Quite weather is expected to prevail through much if not all of the
upcoming week with moderating temperatures anticipated. A shortwave
trough passing over the Northern Plains on Wed will drive a frontal
boundary southward over the area ushering in some slightly cooler
air on Thu before the mid/upper ridge builds over the area bringing
rising temperatures late in the week and into the upcoming weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 629 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

VFR prevails across the forecast area but mid clouds in the
7-10k ft range linger over parts of south central and southeast
Kansas. Very dry air centered around 2km agl should preclude
any sprinkles or flurries early this morning with clearing from
west to east as we move through the day. Light north to
northeast winds will prevail through the period.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Watch from late tonight through Monday morning for
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM