864
FXUS63 KICT 052337
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
637 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mild and continued dry weather conditions are anticipated over
  the upcoming week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1246 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

A progressive shortwave trough over the Canadian border will move
into the Great Lakes area tonight while driving a cold front south
across the Central Plains. This front is expected to usher in more
seasonable air as we move through the remainder of the weekend and
into early next week. A very dry low-level airmass remains in place
with minimal chances for wetting precipitation through the
upcoming forecast period.

A mid/upper trough is progged to linger just north of the Great
Lakes area through the middle of the week keeping northwest
mid/upper flow over the Central Plains. We may see a subtle
shortwave trough or two traverse the area but the chances for
wetting precipitation appear to low to mention at this time.
Temperatures will slowly moderate through the upcoming week with
most locations seeing highs in the upper 80s/near 90 late in the
week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 604 PM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

VFR conditions expected thru TAF period. SW winds continue to
gust upwards of 20 to 25kts and will diminish over the next
couple hours. Meanwhile, a cold front is draped across northern
KS and will move through the area this evening and overnight.
Winds will turn northerly with the frontal passage and
turn more northeasterly throughout the day tomorrow.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 243 AM CDT Sat Oct 5 2024

Hot, windy and very dry conditions will drive the grassland
fire danger into the very high category across parts of central
and south central Kansas this afternoon and early evening.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...KMB
FIRE WEATHER...MWM