161
FXUS63 KICT 090814
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
214 AM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Lingering showers and isolated thunderstorms across eastern
  Kansas early this morning should depart by the late morning
  hours.

- Dry conditions with near normal temperatures expected through
  mid-week next week.

- Another low chance of isolated showers possible around mid-
  week next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 212 AM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

As of early this morning, a stout, vertically stacked extratropical
cyclone was meandering across western Kansas and eastern Colorado.
This is bringing scattered rain and snow showers across the High
Plains along with a large band of showers stretching across much of
Nebraska into eastern Kansas and western Missouri. This system is
expected to begin weakening later this morning and will begin
accelerating to the northeast by this afternoon. In it`s wake, dry
and mild conditions will dominate the central plains both today and
Sunday with afternoon temperatures in the 50s and 60s and overnight
lows in the 30s and 40s.

Quiet conditions are expected to continue for much of Monday and
Tuesday, but another deep layer trough will be entering the picture
from the west late on Tuesday. Due to the progressive nature of
this system, deep, good quality moisture will fail to push
northward into the central plains. This will limit the
opportunity at another good bout of rainfall across the area.
Still, a brief period of isolated showers cannot be ruled out
late Tuesday into early Wednesday, but it`s unlikely most
locations will see any kind of measurable rainfall as this
system quickly skates eastward on Wednesday. There also won`t be
any significant temperature changes, though it could be a tad
chilly Thursday morning with lows in the mid 30s. The next best
opportunity at meaningful rainfall across the area looks to be
just outside the forecast period, perhaps next weekend into the
following week (mid- November).

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1050 PM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

Widespread showers will continue to progress northeast and away
from the terminals. Tracking the IFR to LIFR stratus reveals it
will exit ICT/HUT by 08Z with the remaining terminals by 12Z.
Additional low stratus is possible at RSL Saturday afternoon.
Otherwise, easterly winds will become southerly with gusts
diminishing to 10-15 kt overnight before increasing to 15-25 kt
by mid-morning Saturday.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JC
AVIATION...BRF