479
FXUS63 KICT 222010
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
210 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cooler Thursday with a few flurries possible.

- Brief warm-up for Friday but cooler for the weekend.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Broad upper troughing remains in place from Ontario down through the
Southern Rockies with northwest flow aloft in place through the
Rockies into the Plains. Currently have a few upper
perturbations embedded within the flow. One over eastern
Nebraska/northeast KS with another approaching the Central
Rockies. Last but not least, there is another impulse diving
southeast toward the Northern Rockies. At the surface we have a
trough moving through the forecast area, flipping winds around
to the northwest.

Did go ahead and insert some flurries for mainly central and eastern
portions of the forecast area for very late tonight and mainly
for Thursday. This will be ahead of a piece of upper energy set
to sink into central Nebraska by Thu afternoon. Low level dry
air should keep any precip on the very light side.

By 12z Fri, sharp upper trough will extend from the Eastern Great
Lakes into the Lower Mississippi Valley with additional upper energy
diving south across the Pacific Northwest. This setup will allow for
lee troughing and southwest winds to bring maxes on Fri fairly
close to seasonal normals, with most locations in the 40s. There
is good model agreement that the west coast impulse will
eventually get cut-off over central CA as it sinks south this
weekend. At the same time, a series of upper waves are expected
to slide from central Canada through the Great Lakes region. So
the forecast area will likely be positioned between these two
features, keeping the forecast dry through the weekend and into
the start of the work week. However, the series of shortwaves
passing to our northeast will keep below normal temps in place
through the weekend, with most locations seeing highs in the 30s
to around 40 degrees.

By Mon night, closed-off upper low will be situated over Southern CA
into the Desert Southwest with upper troughing from Ontario through
the Eastern Seaboard. Once again, the forecast area will be stuck
between these two systems with dry conditions anticipated. It looks
like by Tue we should start to see temps moderate back to above
seasonal averages.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1123 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

VFR conditions for all sites through the period. Winds have begun to
turn out of the northwest behind the front. Look for gusty
conditions this afternoon between 20-25 knots, diminishing after
sunset.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RBL
AVIATION...AMD