


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
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884 FXUS64 KHUN 041659 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1159 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 ...New AVIATION... .NEAR TERM... (Rest of Today and Tonight) Issued at 932 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 Happy Fourth of July from all of us at NWS Huntsville! Temps are currently running a few degrees higher than this time yesterday with values currently in the upper 70s to lower 80s. High pressure in place will provide us plenty of sunshine that will push us into the lower 90s today. Conditions are expected to be dry, however added in a low chance (10-15%) POPs this afternoon for locations mainly east of I-65 as the CAMS are showing the potential for a few diurnally driven showers/storms popping up. The firework forecast is still looking good with light winds, mostly clear skies, and temps around 80 degrees. Otherwise, temps will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s overnight. Enjoy your holiday but continue to practice heat safety by never leaving people or pets in vehicles, drink water and seek shade. && .SHORT TERM... (Saturday through Monday) Issued at 932 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 A series of shortwaves will round the ridge of high pressure in place, weakening it through the weekend. However, it will still be able to hold onto keeping us dry and hot through the holiday weekend. By Monday, we will see the return of diurnally driven convection (low chances of ~20%) and a cold front will start to slide southward into the Mid MS Valley and OH Valley that will play a role in our weather mid week. Highs this weekend into Monday will be in the upper 80s (valleys) to lower 90s (elsewhere) while overnight lows will be around 70 degrees. With an increase in moisture during this time, heat index values will climb back up into the upper 90s to lower 100s. As for this forecast package, seems like it will remain below Heat Advisory criteria of 105, however trends will be monitored. Regardless, heat safety will remain important for everyone. Enjoy your holiday weekend but continue to practice heat safety by never leaving people or pets in vehicles, drink water and seek shade. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through Thursday) Issued at 1047 PM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025 High pressure will begin to break down just of the Atlantic coast and begin building more over the Gulf to begin the work week. This will ultimately result in increasing chances for diurnally driven showers and storms beginning Monday. A weak frontal boundary may begin to approach the area as early as Tuesday into Wednesday, with PoPs increasing to 40-60% mainly focused during the afternoon and evening hours. Chances will increase closer to the frontal boundary on Thursday when it appears the front will push through the TN Valley. Although not currently outlooked for severe weather, some of these storms could be strong especially toward the later half of the week. Heat will continue to be a threat as afternoon heat indices remain between 100 and 105 each day. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1159 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 VFR conditions will prevail at KHSV and KMSL through the TAF period. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...JMS SHORT TERM....JMS LONG TERM....25 AVIATION...JMS