757
FXUS64 KHUN 061441
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
941 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

...New NEAR TERM...

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of Today)
Issued at 941 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Early morning fog has since dissipated over the area, as high
pressure continues to promote warm and dry conditions over the
Southeast. A stalled frontal boundary will keep the richer Gulf
moisture locked closer to the coastal region, while a second cold
front nears the area from the northwest later today. Temperatures
will remain on the warmer side of climatological norms, topping
out in the upper 80s to lower 90s this afternoon. With abundant
sunshine forecast through the day, be sure to pack the sunscreen
if spending time outdoors as well as remembering to stay
hydrated. No significant changes were needed during the morning
update.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday)
Issued at 322 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Mostly clear skies will likely continue this evening before more
widespread cloud cover moves southeast into the area after
midnight (along/ahead of that stronger cold front mentioned
earlier). However, little deep moisture is associated with this
front in most guidance, so no precipitation is expected at this
time.

This cold front is forecast to move southeast and into central or
southern Alabama during the early afternoon hours on Monday. This
will keep some partly to mostly cloudy conditions in place just
after daybreak. Fairly strong cold air advection can be seen in
models forecasts in association with this front. This cold air
advection should keep highs in the mid 70s (north of the TN river)
to lower 80s (south of TN river).

Low temperatures that will make it feel like fall are expected
Monday night, as drier and cooler air continues to work into
northern Alabama and southern middle Tennessee. Lows in the upper
40s to lower 50s are expected. Fog will be much harder to form
with the drier air in place and winds between and 5 and 10 mph
with gusts to between 10 to 20 mph.

Our coolest day might be Tuesday, when models are showing highs
only climbing into the lower to mid 70s (north of the TN river) to
mid to upper 70s (south of the TN river). Lows look similar as the
previous night. The cold front should keep any precipitation
associated with Milton well southeast of northern Alabama.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 322 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Not much change in low temperatures are expected Wednesday night.
As we head into the end of the week/weekend, some return flow
around the backside of an area of high pressure will bring some
warm air advection and higher dewpoints back into the area.
However, we remain dry through Saturday with highs rebounding back
into the 75 to 80 degree range in most locations.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 535 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Expect MVFR VSBYS due to fog at KHSV between 12Z and 13Z. At KMSL,
MVFR VSBYS due to fog with some brief IFR conditions are possible
through 13Z. Then VFR conditions should return with light and
variable winds around 4 knots at both terminals.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM....KTW
LONG TERM....KTW
AVIATION...KTW