782
FXUS66 KHNX 081834
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
1034 AM PST Wed Jan 8 2025


&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. Freeze Warning in effect from 7 PM tonight through 9 AM
Thursday morning.

2. 10 to 30 percent chance of quarter mile of visibility or less
tonight.

3. Dry conditions and seasonable temperatures for the next
week.

4. Next best chance for strong winds is Monday through next
Wednesday with another inside slider trough.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
The inside slider that has brought the strong winds has made its
way to Baja California with winds having decreased over the
Sierra Nevada, Mojave Desert, and the Mojave Desert Slopes
through today. Latest ensembles have an agreement that the
trough will slide east through today and tomorrow allowing the
ridge off the coast to strengthen again into the weekend.

However, in the aftermath of the trough we have colder air in
the area. A Freeze Warning is in effect from 7 PM tonight
through 9 AM Thursday as there is a 30 to 60 percent chance of
freezing temperatures in southern Tulare and Kings County and
much of the San Joaquin Valley in western Kern County outside of
Bakersfield. The rest of the Valley is looking at a 10 to 30
percent chance of visiblities of quarter mile or less tonight
into tomorrow morning.

Ensembles have the ridge hanging around the coast into the
weekend before shifting west to be offshore as a shortwave
trough amplifies as it slides into the Great Basin. The
ensembles are agreeing that this trough will gradually split and
a shortwave trough will develop. Ensembles have this new
shortwave retrograding and becoming an inside slider as it
slides across Southern California Monday through next Wednesday.
This brings a concern of another big wind event as the upper
level winds will again shift to be coming out of the northeast
which would be a Mono Wind.

This wild pattern will help keep us dry and have near seasonable
temperatures. The 6-10 day CPC outlook picks up on this with a
40 to 50 percent chance of below average precipitation and equal
chances of above and below average temperature. However, the
8-14 day outlook has a 33 to 40 percent chance of below average
precipitation and a 33 to 50 percent chance of below average
temperatures.



&&


.AVIATION...
18z Update.

In the San Joaquin Valley, Mainly MVFR with areas of IFR due to
mist and local LIFR in fog thru 20Z Wed. Becoming mainly VFR
with areas of MVFR in mist and haze by 20Z Wed and continuing
thru 09Z Thu. After 09Z Thu, mainly MVFR with areas of IFR in
mist.

Elsewhere, VFR conditions will prevail.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ISSUED:  01/07/2025 15:10
EXPIRES: 01/08/2025 23:59
On Wednesday January 8 2025, Fireplace/Wood Stove Burning Status
is: No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno, Kern, and Tulare
Counties. Burning Discouraged in Kings, Madera, and Merced
Counties, and Kern (Greater Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia
National Park and Forest.



&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Warning from 7 PM this evening to 9 AM PST Thursday for
CAZ309-310.
&&

$$

public...JPK
aviation....JPK

weather.gov/hanford