992
FXUS66 KHNX 071002
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
202 AM PST Thu Nov 7 2024


&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

1. Wind Advisory for Eastern Kern County including the Mojave
slopes expires at 1 pm this afternoon.

2. There is a 60 to 95 percent chance of high temperatures of at
least 70 degrees through Monday.

3. There is a 20 to 45 percent probability of 0.10 inches of
rain or more for the San Joaquin Valley on Veterans Day into
Tuesday.

4. There is a 10 to 35 percent chance of 3 inches or more of
snow above 5,500 feet for the Sierra Nevada on Monday through
Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
We have near average temperatures in the low 70s thanks to a
ridge of high pressure over the area. Strong winds are still
present in the Kern County desert and slopes thanks to a trough
that is over the four corners. However, model ensembles have the
trough weakening and moving east today leading to winds
decreasing this afternoon and evening.

The ridge will remain in place for the rest of the week but will
start moving east on Sunday as a strong trough starts to move
in. The trough will slide across the Northwest Monday through
Tuesday bringing some rain and snow to the area. Currently, we
are looking at a 10 to 35 percent chance of 3 inches or more of
snow above 5,500 feet in the Sierra Nevada. Down in the Valley,
we are looking at a 20 to 45 percent chance of a tenth of an
inch of rain or more from this system. However, there is a 40 to
70 percent of Integrated Water Vapor transport values of 250
kg/(m*s) with this storm.


A weak ridge will develop on Wednesday to dry and briefly warm
things up. Latest CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks both have a 40
to 50 percent chance of below average temperatures and a 33 to
40 percent chance of above average rain. This is because of
another strong trough moving in on next Thursday and Friday that
has strong ensemble agreement in strength, timing, and
positioning.

&&


.AVIATION...
6Z Update

VFR conditions will prevail across the central CA
interior for the next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ISSUED:  11/06/2024 15:42
EXPIRES: 11/07/2024 23:59
On Thursday November 7 2024, Fireplace/Wood Stove Burning Status
is: No Burning Unless Registered in Fresno, Kern, Madera, and
Tulare Counties. Burning Discouraged in Kings and Merced Counties,
and Kern (Greater Frazier Park Area) and Sequoia National Park and
Forest.



&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 1 PM PST this afternoon for CAZ334-335-
337>339.
&&

$$

Public/Aviation...JPK
PIO/DSS...Proton

weather.gov/hanford