Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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976 FXHW01 KWNH 080715 PMDHI Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 214 AM EST Wed Jan 08 2025 Valid 00Z Thu Jan 09 2025 - 00Z Thu Jan 16 2025 ...A wetter pattern for the islands... Models and ensembles generally agree that moist lead southerly winds will feed into the islands over the next couple of days with frontal approach and stalling as an amplified upper trough slowly passes to mainly to the north of the state. Expect enhanced rain chances over the state as moisture pools within a well defined and slow moving deep plume to fuel local activity. Trades return later week as high pressure bridges to the north of the islands in an expected transition to a more windward terrain focusing rainfall pattern with lingering pooled moisture. Trades may slacken a bit by the weekend as emerging troughing aloft keeps the weather unsettled over/just east of the islands. Schichtel $$