Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXHW01 KWNH 110649
PMDHI

Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
249 AM EDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Valid 00Z Sun 12 Oct 2025 - 00Z Sun 19 Oct 2025


Guidance solutions continue to seem reasonably well clustered,
bolstering overall forecast confidence. Expect land/sea breeze
conditions again today with scattered showers focusing over those
convergence areas under a favorable weakness aloft and moisture.
Winds should back to light easterly trades into later weekend. An
upper low is forecast to dig south toward the state early next
week and then linger in vicinity into next weekend. This would
act to further pool moisture as winds respond/shift southeastward.
A rising inversion and increasing lift should further yield
increased rain/downpour chances in a wet period to monitor.


Schichtel


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