


Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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977 FXHW01 KWNH 170900 PMDHI Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 500 AM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Valid 00Z Sat 18 Oct 2025 - 00Z Sat 25 Oct 2025 A trade wind pattern is expected to prevail through next week with the subtropical surface high slowly edges closer to Hawaii from the northwest. Meanwhile, a positively-tilted mid- to upper- level trough/low that has been lingering near or just northwest of the main islands is forecast to slowly push southward as a subtropical high builds in from the northwest. The associated instability and moisture pumping from the ITCZ farther south will provide opportunities for additional local downpours and thunderstorms from time to time. As an upper low center shifts slowly westward and the subtropical high builds in from the northwest, rain chances should gradually decrease later next week. Meanwhile, trade winds will continue to favor windward terrain rain activities. Kong $$