


Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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415 FXHW01 KWNH 090759 PMDHI Hawaii Extended Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 359 AM EDT Sun Mar 09 2025 Valid 00Z Mon Mar 10 2025 - 00Z Mon Mar 17 2025 The general pattern across Hawaii through early to midweek will consist of breezy to windy trades and showers favoring windward/mauka areas. Surface high pressure will set up north of the state (on average around 35N) to promote these easterly winds. A weak frontal remnant is forecast to push through Sunday into Monday, and the HREF shows a line of showers pushing south from Kauai and Oahu Sunday into Maui Sunday night and into the Big Island by Monday. Some showers could spill over into leeward areas. A reasonably moist pattern with showers should persist as the week progresses. Later this week into next weekend, the surface high is forecast to drift southeastward, and meanwhile an upper trough pushing a cold front will approach west of the state. This combination should allow winds to weaken a bit but remain breezy, while veering some and reorienting best rain chances on the southeastern sides of the islands. Model guidance shows moisture levels increasing by early next week ahead of the front, so will continue to monitor for possible increases in rain amounts by that time. Tate $$