Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX
154 FXUS64 KHGX 110527 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1227 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1227 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 - Risk of fires this weekend with low daytime humidities in place. - No rain in the forecast through the next several days. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1227 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Broken record: dominant mid-upper ridging across the area isn`t going anywhere anytime soon. Subsident airmass will lead to plenty of sun and above normal daytime highs. ENE low level flow will swing back around to the southeast tonight. This`ll allow dewpoints to trend upward some into next week. Corresponding humidities will also increase...which, overall, might not be such a bad thing in terms of fire weather conditions. If lucky enough, southern parts of the region could see some lowish rain chances return to the fcst Friday...though we`ll need to wait for any meaningful wetting rainfall beyond the scope of this forecast package. 47 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAF Issuance) Issued at 640 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025 VFR conditions to prevail through the TAF period. Winds will generally be light. Areas near the coast may experience a near 10 knot east to southeast wind by tomorrow afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 1227 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 East to northeast winds in the 10-20 knot range for the remainder of the night will further diminish today...eventually turning around to a light southeasterly direction by evening. Water levels will be running above normal due in part to the moon phase and existing easterly fetch. A more prevailing onshore will is expected next week. 47 && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1227 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 Considering we had some wildfire starts on Friday, and continued dry fuels and low RH`s for the remainder of the weekend...we will maintain the enhanced fire wx messaging. Wind speeds will thankfully remain below Red Flag Warning criteria, but if initiated, fires shouldn`t have much of a problem starting esp in the daytime hours. The Texas A&M Forest Service is forecasting moderate to high fire danger for a good part of Southeast Texas this weekend. Use caution with any outdoor burning and obey burn bans currently in effect. 47 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... College Station (CLL) 61 91 61 90 / 0 0 0 0 Houston (IAH) 66 89 66 89 / 0 0 0 0 Galveston (GLS) 74 85 76 84 / 0 0 0 0 && .HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...47 AVIATION...Self MARINE...47