Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC
Issued by NWS Greer, SC
245
FNUS72 KGSP 060858
FWSGSP
Spot Forecast for Black Cove. Complex...NC Forest Service
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
458 AM EDT Sun Apr 6 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on April 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Ahead of a cold front, multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms
expected throughout today and into tonight across the Black Cove area.
Damaging winds and heavy rainfall are the main threats. Over the
next 48 hours, up to 2 inches of rain is likely, with higher amounts
possible where storms can develop. Winds today are gusty, 15-20kts
likely, with sporadic and higher winds near any thunderstorm.
Generally, the winds remain out of the S/SW and turn NW with the
front passing through Monday evening.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
showers in the morning, then showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...24 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 15 mph with gusts to
around 30 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 16 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6444 mph-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (87696 mph-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................13 early in the morning increasing to 64 in the
afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.43 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........11000 decreasing to 1100.
Visibility (SM).....5 decreasing to 4 early in the afternoon, then
increasing to 5 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 4 late in the afternoon.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.02.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........68 70 79 79 78 81 84 85 88 90 93 94
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
Temp............65 64 65 65 68 69 71 72 72 74 72 70
Dewpoint........61 60 61 60 61 61 61 62 63 63 64 63
RH..............87 89 87 84 78 74 71 71 71 68 75 79
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT wind spd..13 13 14 14 15 14 14 13 12 12 10 10
20 FT wind gust.26 28 29 30 30 29 29 28 26 25 24 24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.4 3.4 2.8 2.2 1.4
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.16 17 18 24 25 25 25 24 23 21 17 16
LVORI...........5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 1 3 3
ADI.............15 13 19 54 64 63 63 64 61 50 49 33
VRate mph-ft/100010 9 16 43 78 78 82 88 85 63 42 26
Ceiling (hft)...110 110 80 50 35 35 30 35 21 19 11 11
Visibility (sm).10 9 9 10 9 5 5 5 4 5 4 4
Sfc pres (in)...816 817 817 816 815 814 812 810 808 806 804 802
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Showers through
the night. Slight chance of thunderstorms
overnight. Patchy fog overnight.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph with gusts to
around 24 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20715 mph-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (6214 mph-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................12 to 27.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........1.17 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........1000 decreasing to 900 early in the evening,
then decreasing to 800 late in the evening
decreasing to 500 late in the evening
decreasing to 400 increasing to 500 overnight
increasing to 600 increasing to 800 after 3 am
increasing to 900.
Visibility (SM).....3 decreasing to 2.83 late in the evening, then
decreasing to 2.04 late in the evening
increasing to 2.73 overnight increasing to 3.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.97.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........93 95 95 96 95 96 96 96 96 98 97 97
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).30 40 40 40 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............70 68 66 65 65 64 64 64 64 64 64 63
Dewpoint........63 62 61 61 62 62 62 63 63 62 62 61
RH..............77 84 85 88 91 92 94 95 95 96 96 94
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9
20 FT wind gust.24 23 23 23 23 23 23 22 21 22 21 21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
Transp wind spd.16 15 15 16 17 17 15 13 14 14 13 13
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 5 5 5 7 5 6 6 6
ADI.............27 13 13 14 15 15 13 12 13 12 12 12
VRate mph-ft/100021 12 8 10 11 10 9 8 11 10 9 8
Ceiling (hft)...10 9.0 9.0 8.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 6.0 8.0 9.0
Visibility (sm).3 4 4 4 2.8 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.7 3 3 4
Sfc pres (in)...802 802 802 802 802 802 800 799 797 797 797 797
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog early in the
morning. Patchy fog early in the morning.
Chance of rain showers early in the morning.
Rain showers likely early in the morning, then
chance of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...14 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4603 mph-ft) early in the morning
increasing to fair (20025 mph-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................9 to 26.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.36 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........900 decreasing to 700 early in the morning,
then decreasing to 600 early in the morning
increasing to 1700 late in the morning
increasing to 11000 decreasing to 2400 in the
afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....5 early in the morning.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.98.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96 93 86 87 89 90 87 84 81 81 82 82
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............61 60 60 59 61 63 64 65 65 64 62 60
Dewpoint........60 59 60 59 58 58 57 56 56 54 53 51
RH..............96 95 98 100 92 84 79 73 71 70 71 74
20 FT wind dir..SW W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..9 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8
20 FT wind gust.18 16 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W NW NW
Transp wind spd.13 12 12 14 12 10 10 12 12 13 14 15
LVORI...........7 6 8 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............12 9 10 16 14 18 21 24 24 25 25 26
VRate mph-ft/10008 7 7 13 12 14 16 18 19 19 19 20
Ceiling (hft)...9.0 7.0 6.0 17 24 110 24 24 24 24 24 24
Visibility (sm).5 6 5
Sfc pres (in)...798 799 801 800 799 798 799 800 800 801 801 801
$$
Forecaster...Christiaan Patterson
Requested by...Ryan Searcy
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2508854.1/GSP
.DELDT 04/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0