056
FNUS53 KGRR 161953
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
253 PM EST Sat Nov 16 2024

...Scattered showers possible tonight into Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...A wave of low pressure will track
through the Great Lakes Region later tonight and into Sunday.
Moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will get drawn into this
wave as it tracks through.  Thus, scattered showers
are expected, but overall the total amount of rain through
Sunday is projected to be light.  The unsettled weather will
continue into much of next week.


MIZ037>039-043>045-170915-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
253 PM EST Sat Nov 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....37-42.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....220-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....30-35.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-210 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-170915-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
253 PM EST Sat Nov 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....210 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 10 PM, then
                    mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....30-35.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-250 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....150-160 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-170915-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
253 PM EST Sat Nov 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 10 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    800-1300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....240-250 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent near Lake Michigan and 69-74
                    percent Inland.


20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 10 PM, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent near Lake Michigan and 53-58
                    percent Inland.

   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.

20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-170915-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
253 PM EST Sat Nov 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 10 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....150-180 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........64-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 10 PM, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160-180 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-170915-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
253 PM EST Sat Nov 16 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 10 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....38-43.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....170 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 1 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....410-420 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-190 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 4 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers. Lows in the lower 40s. East
winds 6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers. Highs in the upper 50s.
Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers until midday, then
showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds
6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers. Lows in the mid 30s. North
winds 7 to 12 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers. Highs in the mid 40s. North
winds 8 to 13 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
40s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Chance of
light freezing rain overnight. Lows in the lower 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 40s.

$$