Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
873
FNUS53 KGRR 132025
FWFGRR
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
325 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024
...This will be the routine Fire Weather Forecast of this season...
.DISCUSSION...
A frontal system will move over the area tonight and Thursday,
and will bring a widespread rain to the entire area. 0.50 inches
to 1 inch of rain can be expected through Thursday morning. A few
rain showers will remain possible into Friday, before drier
weather will return with seasonable temperatures.
MIZ037>039-043>045-140930-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
325 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 10 PM, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....37-42.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....150-160 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.60 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers until 1
PM, then a chance of rain showers until 6 PM,
then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....47-52.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........79-84 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
until midday.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.25 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....35-40.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....49-54.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........66-71 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....210-260 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ040-046-140930-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
325 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 1 AM, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....120-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.26 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....45-50.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.21-0.40 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
showers until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....36-41.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 52.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........66-71 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....230-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-140930-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
325 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 10 PM, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....41-46.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.41-0.63 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers until 1
PM, then a chance of rain showers until 6 PM,
then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........71-76 percent near Lake Michigan and 83-88
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......36 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 40
percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the east in
the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....130-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.27 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....39-44.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent near Lake Michigan and 71-76
percent Inland.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 12
percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....220-290 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-140930-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
325 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 10 PM, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-210 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.54 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph becoming east around 10
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....210-270 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.36 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 53.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........71-76 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....250-290 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-140930-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
325 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 10 PM, then rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....40-45.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110-220 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.21-0.53 in.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
24 hr trend......40 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
until midday.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph decreasing to around 10
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.16-0.32 in.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........98 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....130-140 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 53.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-310 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the
evening. Lows in the mid 30s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to
9 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds
5 to 9 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Southwest winds 6 to
11 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around
40. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds 5 to 7 mph
shifting to the south 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
40s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s.
$$