374
FNUS53 KGRR 060730
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
330 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024

...Conditions Approaching Red Flag Criteria Today...

.DISCUSSION...
Conditions are expected to approach Red Flag criteria today
as MinRH values fall near 30 percent, possibly into the 20s if
better mixing occurs. It will be windy today with west winds of
15-20 mph with gusts exceeding 30 mph at times. The highest
fire danger will be east of a Mount Pleasant to Kalamazoo line.
Winds decrease to 10-15 mph gusting to 20 mph Monday with MinRH
only falling into the mid to upper 30s.

MIZ037>039-043>045-062015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
330 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) until 5 PM, then mostly
                    cloudy (80-90 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 28
                    mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1600-1610 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........66-71 percent near Lake Michigan and 74-79
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 1
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4200-4700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....810-1360 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3600-4100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....750-850 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-062015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
330 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent) until 5 PM, then mostly
                    cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to around 28
                    mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2080-2100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....750-1170 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....880-1080 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-062015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
330 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to northwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1240-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph becoming north around
                    15 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....1080-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....620 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-062015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
330 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 31
                    mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2100-2230 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....880-1160 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....770-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-062015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
330 AM EDT Sun Oct 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1880-2160 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......20 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....880-1130 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....630-790 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. West winds 5 to 6 mph
in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds 5 to
6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northeast winds up to
5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds 5 to
6 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

Thomas