935
FNUS75 KGJT 161743
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Muddy Sheep Unit 904...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1143 AM MDT Fri May 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1225 MDT on May 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Gusty winds mostly out of the west are anticipated to occur
near the spot location today and tomorrow afternoon. Gusts will
be near 30 mph, generally occurring between 1200-1800 MDT on both
days. Some isolated thunderstorms are possible tomorrow, but are
not expected (<20% chance). Should a storm approach the spot
location though, gusts would strengthen and become more erratic.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................Near 0 percent.
Max temperature.....48-53.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds increasing to 15-20 mph throughout
                    the afternoon with gusts up to around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL near sunset.
Transport winds.....West 20-25 mph.
Chance of thunder...Near 0 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) becoming partly
                    cloudy (30-40 percent) overnight.
CWR.................Near 0 percent.
Min temperature.....31-36.
Max humidity........60-65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5-10 mph becoming south overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10-15 mph becoming south 5-10 mph
                    overnight.
Chance of thunder...Near 0 percent.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................Less than 10 percent.
Max temperature.....55-60.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5-10 mph increasing to 13-18 mph
                    with gusts to around 30 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds possible near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor increasing to excellent in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL at 0900 MDT increasing to 9800 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20-25 mph.
Chance of thunder...15-20 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Braeden Winters
Requested by...Dan Nielsen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513892.3/GJT
.DELDT 05/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daniel.nielsen2@usda.gov