677
FNUS75 KGJT 051959
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Fawn Gulch...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
159 PM MDT Sat Oct 5 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 MDT on October 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry and sunny/hazy conditions remain in place for
the next few days. Deeper mixing will allow very good smoke
dispersal today and good tomorrow and result in low afternoon RH
values. Changing the spot location seems to have helped the
overnight forecast- will verify tomorrow morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Haze.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 mph.
Clearing Index......940.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Haze in the
                    evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....37-42.
Max humidity........47-52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12000-16000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 13 mph.
Clearing Index......140.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Haze and areas of smoke
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 mph shifting to the southwest 12
                    mph in the afternoon.
Clearing Index......400 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Kathryn Abbott
Requested by...Fred Ellis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423378.12/GJT
.DELDT 10/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian.austin@usda.gov,corey.p.wilson@usda.gov,Fred.Ellis@usda.gov,gregory.becker@usda.gov