Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 121330
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for AS Piles...Eagle Valley Wildland
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
730 AM MDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Westerly winds are expected today and with some decent mixing,
fair to good smoke dispersal is expected this afternoon.
Temperatures will remain warm. Conditions change tomorrow as an
approaching system and cold front move through. Ahead of this
front, south through southwesterly winds of 12 to 16 mph with
occasional gusts of 25 to 30 mph are expected. This will bring
excellent smoke dispersal to the burn site. Warm temps remain in
the forecast though a noticable drop will occur Friday once the
front moves through.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....48-53.
Min humidity........24-29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair by 11AM increasing to good by 1PM in
                    the afternoon. Dropping back to poor after 6PM.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 7600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....21-26.
Max humidity........82-87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 11 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....50-55.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 mph shifting to the southwest 12
                    to 16 with occasional gusts between 25 to 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair by 10AM increasing to excellent by 2PM then
                    back to poor after 7PM.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 22 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Tom Renwick
Requested by...Bear Opitz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505919.1/GJT
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL evw@eagleriverfire.org,bopitz@eagleriverfire.org