416
FNUS75 KGJT 091300
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Dawson Piles...BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
600 AM MST Thu Jan 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0645 MST on January 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A weak disturbance will bring some snow showers to the burn site
this morning but chances will decrease as we move forward. The
bigger concern will be some gusty winds from the north, reaching
between 25 to 35 mph at times. These stronger winds will allow
smoke dispersal to reach good by noon, if not before, and very
good from 3 to 6PM. Ridging builds in Friday and with strong
inversions aloft, smoke dispersal will drop back to the poor
category.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy becoming partly sunny (40-50 percent).
                    Snow showers this morning.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....27-32.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts between 25
                    to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good increasing to very good in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 25 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....8-13.
Max humidity........61-66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 18 mph decreasing to 5 to 8 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 mph.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....26-31.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Tom Renwick
Requested by...Sean Molas
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2500090.2/GJT
.DELDT 01/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL smolas@blm.gov