757
FNUS75 KGJT 061404
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Roaring Judy Pile...DFPC
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
704 AM MST Thu Mar 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on March 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A strong, wet winter storm will be moving over the burn
location today, bringing snow and strong, gusty southwest winds. Gusts
up to 30 mph are expected, and gusts up to 40 mph are possible during
the afternoon. 1-3 inches of accumulating snow are expected at the burn
location by Saturday morning, with the majority of accumulation today.
There is a slight chance of thunder, mainly this afternoon and evening.
Shower activity will taper tomorrow, and winds will lessen. Unfortunately
this also means that smoke dispersal values will not reach above poor
tomorrow.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Chance of snow showers
                    in the morning, then snow showers in the afternoon.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent.
Max temperature.....37-42.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 4-8 mph becoming southwest winds
                    10-12 mph by 1100. Increasing to 16-20 mph after
                    1400. Gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10000-35000 knot-ft) increasing to good by
                    1100, increasing to very good by 1300. Decreasing
                    to good after 1400.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL by 1300.
Transport winds.....South 20 mph.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Snow showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 2000,
                    then snow showers likely overnight.
CWR.................20 percent.
Min temperature.....4-9.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 14-18 mph decreasing to 8-12 mph
                    after 2400. Gusts up to 30 mph until 2400, then
                    gusts up to 20 mph for the remainder of the night.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to poor (30000-39000 knot-ft) until 2400,
                    then poor (10000-25000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL decreasing to 1500 ft AGL after 2000.
Transport winds.....West 25 mph.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow
                    showers through the day.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....25-30.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4-8 mph becoming west after 1000.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10000-26000 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL by 1400.
Transport winds.....West 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Brianna Bealo
Requested by...Joe Duensing
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505088.0/GJT
.DELDT 03/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joe.duensing@state.co.us