096
FNUS75 KGJT 040026
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Elk RBX Fire...Rio Blanco County Sheriff Office
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
626 PM MDT Sun Aug 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MDT on August 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Winds will remain breezy early this evening from the
west-southwest, then shift to southeast and then east overnight.
It will lessen overnight but remain breezy at times. Conditions
will continue to be critically dry for the coming week with
southwest winds increasing Monday and Tuesday. Relative humidity
recoveries will be low with relative humidity overnight in the
teens and daytime relative humidity in the single digits. Hot,
dry and windy conditions look to continue each day through much of
the coming week.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
Max humidity........26-31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West-southwest winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    20 mph early this evening, shifting to the
                    southeast after sunset, then east 8 to 12 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (15000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL decreasing to 1400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Areas of smoke in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....84-89.
Min humidity........4-9 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph until 1000, shifting
                    to the southwest 15 to 20 mph with gusts 30 to
                    35 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 12900 ft AGL by peak heating.
Transport winds.....Southwest 23 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Areas of smoke.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
Max humidity........16-21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 18 mph becoming south 8 to 12
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent decreasing to poor (24000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......11700 ft AGL decreasing to 1400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 21 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Areas of smoke in the
                    morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....84-89.
Min humidity........6-11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 12 to 18 mph with gusts to 30 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good by 0900, increasing to excellent by 1100.
Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL increasing to 15300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 28 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Matt Aleksa
Requested by...Rhawnie
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519094.2/GJT
.DELDT 08/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dispatch@rbc.us