208
FNUS75 KGJT 040423
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Spud Patch Fire...SMSO / Egnar Fire
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1023 PM MDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2200 MDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Ample moisture remains in the region tonight, keeping a
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast through
midnight, before tapering off. Tomorrow will be warmer and drier, with
no chance of wetting rain and mostly sunny skies. While winds could
gust up to 25 mph tomorrow afternoon, relative humidity values are
expected to remain above critical thresholds, limiting the possibility
of even localized critical fire weather conditions near the fire location.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
Max humidity........68-73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4-8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4-8 mph increasing to 10-14 mph
                    after 1200. Gusts up to 25 mph possible in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0-25000 knot-ft) increasing to fair by 1000,
                    to good by 1100, and to very good by 1300.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL by 1600.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 mph.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60.
Max humidity........32-37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8-12 mph becoming south winds 4-8
                    mph by 2400. Gusts up to 25 mph possible before
                    2100.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good decreasing to good by 1900, to fair by
                    2000, and to poor (0-1500 knot-ft) by 2100.
Mixing height.......9500 ft AGL decreasing to 0 ft AGL by 2400.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Brianna Bealo
Requested by...SMSO Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517283.0/GJT
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ccs@sanmiguelsheriff.org