365
FNUS75 KGJT 091427
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Fawn Gulch RX...USFS
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
827 AM MDT Wed Oct 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0756 MDT on October 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Moderate moisture levels aloft are expected to fuel
isolated showers/thunderstorms after 1200. This activity will
likely be north and east of the project area producing gusty
outflow winds, but wetting rain is highly improbable. Drier
conditions are expected Thursday while temperatures remain well
above normal levels.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
Min humidity........13-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope 3 to 5 mph shifting to the west
                    and increasing to 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 11500 ft AGL at peak heating.
Transport winds.....North 10 mph shifting to the northwest 14 mph
                    in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....37-42.
Max humidity........61-66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope 3 to 5 mph by 2000.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming poor (8000 knot-ft) overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 mph.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope 3 to 5 mph through 0900, then
                    shifting to the southwest at 5 to 10 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Increasing to fair at peak heating.
Haines Index........6 or high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 9900 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 mph shifting to the west 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.

$$

Forecaster...Norv Larson
Requested by...Corey Wilson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423775.2/GJT
.DELDT 10/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL corey.p.wilson@usda.gov,fred.ellis@usda.gov,brian.austin@usda.gov,tracy.milakovic@usda.gov