555
FNUS75 KGJT 011047
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Horse Draw...BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
447 AM MDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on July 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Moisture will be on the increase over the next several
days, leading to increasing chances of showers or thunderstorms near
the fire location. Dry surface levels will limit chances of wetting
rain to 10% or less each afternoon. The main concerns with showers or
storms that develop will be gusty outflow winds and frequent lightning.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) becoming partly cloudy (30-40%)
                    after 1500. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....91-96.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley winds 3-5 mph becoming upslope/
                    upvalley winds 4-8 mph after 1000. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000-36000 knot-ft) increasing to fair by 1000,
                    increasing to good by 1100, and increasing to very
                    good by 1200. Decreasing back to good after 1700.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 15500 ft AGL by 1500.
Transport winds.....West 13 mph.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
Max humidity........52-57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Upslope/upvalley winds 4-8 mph shifting to downslope/
                    downvalley winds by 2400.
Smoke dispersal.....Good decreasing to poor (3000-17000 knot-ft) by
                    2000.
Mixing height.......12200 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL by 2100.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) becoming partly cloudy (40-50%)
                    after 1500. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....89-94.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley winds 3-5 mph becoming upslope/
                    upvalley winds 4-8 mph by 1200. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3000-34000 knot-ft) increasing to fair by
                    1200, and to good by 1400.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 12200 ft AGL by 1500.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Brianna Bealo
Requested by...Bradley Husby
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516813.2/GJT
.DELDT 07/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL oconnelltom87@gmail.com,bhusby@blm.gov,john.hill@usda.gov