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Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
441 FLUS43 KGID 010225 AAA HWOGID Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Hastings NE 925 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 020230- Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance- Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York- Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin- Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer- 925 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and portions of north central Kansas. .DAY ONE...Overnight. Late tonight/early Monday morning, mainly after 2 AM, a fairly widespread area of showers and thunderstorms will develop over much of the area and slowly shift east. While the majority of storms should be on the weaker side, a few could be strong to marginally-severe, capable of producing hail up to around the size of quarters. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Both Monday and Tuesday feature two separate weather concerns, thunderstorms and heat. Starting with thunderstorm and severe weather potential Monday and Tuesday: At sunrise Monday morning, a widespread area of showers and thunderstorms will likely be ongoing mainly within counties along and east of Highway 281, with a few storms capable of producing mainly small hail. This activity should depart eastern portions of the area by mid to late morning, leaving the entire area storm free until at least late afternoon. Then, during the late afternoon and evening, especially between 4 and 10 PM, nearly the entire area will be under at least a small chance for severe storms, with the threat overall-greater in Nebraska counties than Kansas counties. There is still some uncertainty regarding whether storm coverage will be more spotty/isolated in nature or perhaps more widespread, but any severe storms that do develop will generally track from west-to- east, with the primary threats being large hail to around golf ball size, damaging wind gusts of 60 to 70 MPH, and perhaps a few tornadoes. Although the threat for severe storms should largely wane by around 10 PM, scattered weaker storms could continue well into the night. On Tuesday, at least spotty, and mainly weak thunderstorms will be possible almost anywhere in the outlook area. However, there is at least a Marginal Risk that a few severe storms could develop along a cold front in far southeast portions of the area, affecting counties such as Thayer, Jewell and Mitchell. Turning to Monday and Tuesday heat concerns: Southern parts of the area will become quite hot Monday afternoon, with heat index values of at least 100 to 105 degrees. As a result, a Heat Advisory will be in effect from 1 to 8 PM for all area Kansas counties, along with Gosper, Furnas and Harlan counties in Nebraska. On Tuesday afternoon, extreme southeast parts of the area, particularly Mitchell and Osborne counties in Kansas, could again see heat index readings of at least 100 to 105 degrees. Between Wednesday and Saturday, intermittent thunderstorm chances continue for various parts of the area, including at least low chances for Thursday, Independence Day. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Any reports of possible hail overnight would be appreciated. && More information may be obtained at the following web page: https://www.weather.gov/hastings $$ Pfannkuch