548
FXUS63 KGID 090521
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1221 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Sprinkles this afternoon.

- High confidence in dry and warm conditions through the weekend
  and the first half of next week.

- This warmth and continued dryness will lead to late-season
  fire weather concerns for parts of the area for several days
  next week. See the Fire Weather section below for more
  specifics.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 355 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025

Diurnally-driven spotty rain showers have developed over parts
of the area. The highest coverage exists just southwest of the
forecast area, and there actually have been a few lightning
strikes in that area. Even so, the lack of instability and weak
lift will keep coverage pretty limited over our area, and most
areas will be lucky to see sprinkles...at best. This activity
should diminish around or slightly after sunset.

Skies will clear tonight and winds will go light/variable. As
such, patchy radiation fog cannot be ruled out in low-lying
areas. That said, the HREF members appear more favorable to our
southeast (where they`ve seen more rainfall recently).

Relatively light winds continue on Friday as a surface ridge of
high pressure moves through the area. Under clear skies,
temperatures should reach the 80s across the area. A very
pleasant "summer-like" day!

Saturday will be similar, with slightly breezier southerly winds
as upper level ridging builds over the central and eastern
CONUS. Some areas may already threaten 90 degrees, and the
latest NBM shows a 20-50% chance for exceeding 90 degrees for
areas north of I-80.

As ridging continues to translate eastward, gustier southerly
winds arrive for Sunday through Tuesday (sustained 20-30 MPH
with gusts 30-40 MPH). Temperatures will reach the 80s each day
and could push well into the 90s for some areas (especially
Tuesday).

The next system moves into the area Wednesday into next
Thursday, although deterministic and ensemble models highlight
areas to our north with the best chance to see any "meaningful"
rain. In fact, based on the 12Z EPS, there is a 50-80% chance
for most of our area to seen ZERO measurable rain through
Thursday night.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1217 AM CDT Fri May 9 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Skies are expected to remain clear throughout the daylight hours
with just some scattered high clouds moving in after sunset
this evening. The wind will remain light throughout the day,
rather variable this morning and then primarily out of the north
this afternoon shifting to southeasterly during the late
evening hours. This is a high confidence VFR TAF period.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Wesely