370
FXUS63 KGID 112338
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
638 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and possibly some weak t-storms tonight into
  early Sunday morning...mainly midnight to 6am.

- Cold front moves through on Sunday. Winds shift to the
  northwest, and a push of drier air may lead to near-critical
  fire weather conditions west of Highway 183.

- A few showers are possible (20% chance) Sunday night.

- Cooler on Monday and Tuesday with chances for rain returning
  to the entire area Monday evening through Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 337 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

As of 3pm, skies have cleared over most of the area, and
temperatures have climbed into the upper 70s and 80s (near 90 in
parts of KS). Southeasterly winds are gusting 30-35 MPH, and are
expected to remain breezy through the overnight hours.

CAMs continue to show scattered showers developing over central
Nebraska tonight into early Sunday morning. There is just
enough instability for a few rumbles of thunder...but certainly
nothing severe. This activity should exit the area before
sunrise on Sunday.

Sunday will be another warm day, although a cold front will push
into the area, turning winds to the west and northwest during
the afternoon. As drier air advects into the area, humidity may
dip as low as 20% in western zones (Dawson, Gosper, Furnas
Counties).

Chances for showers return Sunday evening. Many CAMs keep the
initial development largely southeast of the area...along the
front...but a few additional showers could develop further north
late Sunday night into Monday morning. That said, coverage is
expected to be limited and the chance for measurable precip is
low (20%).

Low PoPs linger in southeastern areas during the
daytime Monday, but most areas will remain dry. High
temperatures on Monday are expected to be in the 60s...which is
15-20 degrees cooler than this weekend. A better chance for rain
showers arrives in the area Monday night through Tuesday, thanks
to moisture and lift ahead of a deep trough over the western
CONUS.

Wednesday and Thursday trend warmer (possibly near 80 again on
Thursday), but the trough will force a cold front into the area
Thursday night into Friday. This will lead to another cooldown
and additional rain chances in this timeframe.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 630 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Gusty southeast to south winds will continue into this evening
and overnight. Winds will begin to weaken around mid to late
morning on Sunday and transition to the southwest. Winds will
strengthen out of the northwest Sunday afternoon. Wind shear is
expected from around 02z to 12z-14z. There is a slight chance of
low ceilings for KGRI from 06z to 12z. Rain showers are possible
from around 09z to 12z.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Schuldt