Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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680
FNUS74 KFWD 221530
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for FB_Unit 9...Texas Parks and Wildlife Department
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
930 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on January 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Current conditions at the burn location are quite cold as
temperatures start off in the 20s with areas of frost.
Temperatures will begin to rebound rather quickly this morning
with highs eventually topping off in the 40s this afternoon as
south winds become firmly established under clear skies. Winds
just off the surface this afternoon will be occasionally breezy
with gusts around 20 mph (sustained around 10 mph), while
transport winds will be maintained around 20 mph. Cold
temperatures will temper mixing heights to around 3000 ft AGL
despite breezy winds. Winds will become light and variable
overnight tonight before shifting to the north around 5-7 mph on
Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   2   8   11  12  7   6   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............35  39  40  44  45  45  45  43
RH..............45  44  46  41  40  41  43  47
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  10  10  10  8   6
20 FT wind gust.17  18  20  20  20  18  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.9 1.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.22  21  22  21  21  20  18  15
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 23.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 12 mph shifting to the west around 8
                    mph overnight, then shifting to the north 8 to
                    12 mph overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........15  20  41  28  31  31  37  28  34  39  36  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............40  37  32  31  29  28  27  27  27  27  26  26
RH..............55  61  75  78  85  88  92  92  88  92  92  92
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  10  9   7   7   5   3   3   5   6   6   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  W   NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  10  9   7   8   8   8   8   9   12
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24  26  25  13  10  8   5   4   2   1   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............26  24  28  34  38  43  47  48  50  51  49  47
RH..............92  100 88  75  64  55  47  44  40  37  40  45
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   6   5
20 FT wind gust.8   9   10  12  13  14  15  16  16  16  15  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.9 2.9 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.9 3.4 1.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  13  14  15  16  16  16  16  17  16  14  12
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Kovacik/NWS Shreveport
Requested by...Jeff Sparks
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501048.0/FWD
.DELDT 01/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jeff.sparks@tpwd.texas.gov