341
FXUS64 KFWD 061038
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
538 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

...New Aviation, Short Term...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cool and cloudy conditions will persist today with clearing late
  in the day. Some spots may drop to freezing tonight across the
  northwest.

- Next week will be clear and dry, with afternoon highs warming
  into the 70s and 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
Update:

The last of the light rain/drizzle continues to push to the east
of I-35 this morning with cloudy, breezy, and cool conditions
expected to linger for much of the day. As the upper trough
continues to pull off to the east later today, strong isentropic
downglide will allow drying to take place and we`ll see an erosion
of the clouds from west to east. Our western counties may see some
sun prior to sunset, but most areas should stay overcast for a
good portion of the day. Skies will clear tonight and winds will
diminish to 5 to 10 kt and this will allow temperatures to drop
into the 30s areawide. A few locations may drop to or just below
freezing across the northwest. Otherwise, a sunny and warmer day
is expected on Monday.

Dunn

Previous Discussion:
/Overnight through Monday/

Water vapor imagery shows our upper trough finally ejecting
eastward after several days of unsettled weather. Strong mid level
forcing for ascent associated with this feature is squeezing out
lingering moisture resulting in some light wrap around rain across
our north and northwest counties. Patchy drizzle is falling a
little farther south and should continue for another few hours
before the best lift moves out of the area. A cold and breezy
night is in store with temperatures falling into the mid and upper
30s across the region. Low clouds will linger for much of the day
Sunday resulting in temperatures continuing well below normal.
Highs will struggle to make it into the low 50s with continued
north winds. Drier air will make a push into the region by late in
the day though and low clouds should gradually clear from west to
east by the early evening hours. Clearing skies and decreasing
winds will allow for another cold night, especially in outlying
areas north and west of the Metroplex. Temperatures may fall to
freezing in a few locations with mid/upper 30s elsewhere.

High pressure will continue to build into the Southern Plains on
Monday with sunny skies expected and light north winds.
Temperatures will rebound back into the mid 60s areawide which
will kick off a week of generally tranquil weather.

Dunn

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 224 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025/
/Tuesday and Beyond/

Building mid-level heights and a dry airmass overhead will keep
dry, mostly sunny, and pleasant spring weather across North and
Central Texas through the remainder of next week. Expect afternoon
highs in the 70s on Tuesday gradually climbing into the upper 70s
to mid 80s by the middle of next week. Overnight lows will
generally fall into the 50s each night. Some medium-range
guidance is suggesting that a shortwave trough will drop south
through the Plains and over the Lower Mississippi River Valley
dragging a cold front into North and Central Texas in the late
Thursday-Friday timeframe. However, the better lift and moisture
will likely remain positioned to our east, so we will keep a dry
forecast over our forecast area for now.

Langfeld

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/12Z TAFs/

MVFR cigs will remain in place for much of the day along with
brisk northwest winds. Clouds will being to scatter out by late
this afternoon/evening from west to east. We`ll maintain a return
to VFR by 23Z with skies clearing after dark. Winds will diminish
this evening with VFR prevailing on Monday.

Dunn

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    52  38  65  45  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                53  35  65  40  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               49  36  63  40  69 /  10   0   0   0   0
Denton              50  32  65  38  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            49  35  63  40  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              52  39  67  44  73 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             51  36  63  40  71 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           53  37  65  42  72 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              55  36  67  40  74 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       54  33  67  39  76 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Watch from late tonight through Monday morning for TXZ091-
092-100>102-115>117-129>131-141>143-156.

&&

$$